Finncap: Earnings upgrade23 Aug 2016 10:39
Finncap
08:1923 Aug
Bioventix* (BVXP): Earnings upgrades post trading update (CORP)
Following yesterday’s positive trading statement relating to FY 2016 revenues as well as comments pertaining to its troponin antibody being developed into a diagnostic test for heart attacks by Siemens, and in which management states that it expects “to commence significant sales during FY 2018”, thus potentially mitigating the effects of lost revenues from NTproBNP antibody in FY020 18, we are upgrading forecasts for FY 2016 and FY 2017. Fully diluted EPS are forecast to be 64.9p and 71.2p in 2016 and 2017, +13% and +19% above prior estimates, respectively. We assume a FY 2016 dividend of 43p to be declared (1.5x cover), which we estimate should rise to 46p in FY 2017. Net cash at 30 June 2016 is estimated to have been £5.2m and is expected to rise to £6.3m in FY 2017. Consequently, we increase our target price by 8% to 1350p, at which level the stock would trade on FY 2017 PE and EV/EBITDA multiples of 19.0x and 14.3x, respectively, supported by a DCF valuation of 1450p.