RE: Polygons exposure on CFD’s1 Mar 2020 19:58
A CFD is a market instrument, a derivative of the quoted share price, not a physical asset. If the share is suspended because of impending administration or bankruptcy, the last quoted price becomes the settlement price for the CFD, surely, and not zero. Polygon's risk on the downside is restricted to the quoted share price and if they can pump it up before a no vote, they will likely lose nothing from no and gain everything from an increased offer.
If that strategy is in concert with Odey there must be an unpublished chance of an increased offer from AAL or a third party interventions.
It looks like a decent punt at 4p to make an 8p exit.