RE: Gap closed at 2.23 on hourly charts....20 Jan 2020 21:12
There is a fundamental philosophical problem with market charting. If it worked consistently, everyone would do it, and there would be no losers. A market needs winners and losers to operate. So that is an oxymoron.
It is a bit like astrology, it works some of the time, but without any underlying science. It is an attempt to forecast the future on the basis of the past, and so aligns itself with religious belief.
The most vocal of chartists will always find some historical event to explain the current share price. There are more characters and markers in the chartist’s lexicon than extras in a war movie.
The apparently subjective mess of lines drawn to achieve a desired result, with no objective reason for their start and end point only helps the self-belief in the process.
Having said that, there is no doubt that among the hordes of traders in very liquid stocks who subscribe to the religion of charting, there is herd momentum around the best known characteristics and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophesy.
It does not work for illiquid stock and as sure as heck it does not forecast the kind of disasters like SXX, Carillion, FlyBe, which might be more useful to retail punters.
Significant news tends to trample the charts underfoot, which is why everyone would prefer inside information to the hourly candles, and it is why rumours abound.
Did anyone see a cup and handle on the daily and the 3 monthly? Must be tea time.