BERG and SXX9 Aug 2020 10:29
**Shares in potash mine developer Sirius Minerals PLC (LON:SXX) sank on Wednesday after Berenberg downgraded the stock to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’ and slashed its target price by 50% to 17p from 35p.
In a note, the German bank said that following news on Tuesday that the FTSE 250 firm had delayed a planned US$500mln bond offering, the risks relating to the group’s polyhalite project in Yorkshire were now “greater than the reward” and suggested that investors “wait until certainty is achieved” before taking any action.
READ: Sirius Minerals slumps as it slams brakes on US$500mln bond offering
“As outlined in the financing package, there is no guarantee that alternative methods of financing can be secured…and as such the company could again run into cash flow issues. With the deadline for completion now drawing closer, the risk is now too high to argue that Sirius Minerals’ shares currently represent an attractive investment”, the broker said.
However, despite the uncertainty, Berenberg’s analysts reiterated their long-term view of the project unchanged, saying that if the company managed to secure funding for its Woodsmith site the economics were “favourable”.**
https://www.miningcapital.com/companies/news/900285/sirius-minerals-slides-as-berenberg-downgrades-to-hold-and-cuts-target-price-in-half-900285.html
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Apologies to ex-holders in SXX but BERG pointed out SXX's weaknesses months before the company imploded
The moral of the story is simple. Without cash a company is insolvent, dead, kaput and the value of shareholder equity falls to zero. Liquidity is everything in the corporate and personal world. Cash comes from varying sources and with varying degrees of difficulty. That source is either internal (positive cashflow generation from product sales) or external (equity investors or debt investors with both forms of financing reliant on security of investment and confidence in the company).
GGP's cash balance is minimal at present relative to its market cap but we have 30% of a Tier 1, high grade gold-copper discovery that can be profitably exploited for minimal capital outlay (debt or equity financed. I hope GGP offer 'us lot' an opportunity to participate in any future equity fund raise).
The initial 5% at FMV is pure cash in the bank, it is a contractual obligation. This is massive in terms of market confidence. The other 25% is also hugely important to support the company's market value. If we didn't have this contractual guarantee the price would fall away ala SXX
I bet we have financiers (with Newcrest at the front of the queue) queueing up to finance our 25% to take Hav to mining ala Franco Nevada at SOLG. Again, I'd like to see, in the absence of a takeover, our capital demands to finance the mining of Havieron come from equity not debt. Shareholders not debt holders or royalty companies (Franco-Nev or Sandstorm for example) should enjoy the upside.
Heddle could easily raise $100m from equity investors, easy, e