Member Info for Scampthedog

Maybe it lost something in translation? Perhaps it might be that wolves is Polish.

Oh I forgot, remember that extra hour RMG agreed to in the "Four Pillars" agreement, well just in case you have -- the posties haven't! Lol. And the cost involved in having to buy it back - whew!! Don't think for one minute Pullinger has forgotten it either...because he has'nt. And you can trust me on that one also. Time forr a nap - ta-ra!

The CWU can re-ballot at any time...but don't need to now -- the company has agreed to immediate talks without preconditions. The CWU have informed RMG they will indeed talk to them...but after a period of calm in February. It is RMG who are keenest to engage in dialogue...not the CWU. And regarding what could the CWU do? Right now, this very hour, they could impose a crippling overtime ban. The immediate effects? Devastating!! What could they do? Lots of things, alaninvestor...lots and lots of things. But they don't need to now do they. Cheers!

I respect your opinions of course, alaninvestor, but you could not be more wrong concerning the CWU...on all your points. You can trust me on that I promise you...whatever some other people on here care to believe. And time will prove me right.

No one has mentioned that there is probably a fair amount of profit taking going on here...it is not just "shorters" at work. I have every reason to believe the Christmas figures will be better than expected (regarding parcels of course -- not so letters!) when released...should raise the s.p somewhat in the New Year. However, and there is always a however is'nt there, when RMG and the CWU finally come to an agreement sometime in March, and the analysts have worked out the total costs involved in that agreement, we may then get a truer idea of the companies proper share value. Like I have stated again and again on this board in one form or another: this is a long-term share will a long-term plan -- not a quick short-term gain! RMG and the CWU are opposite sides of the same coin, Yin and Yang...they espouse completely differing values from one another -- but are vital to each others success! Success for the shareholders without the CWU on board? Not a fxxkxxg chance in Hell!! And thats "end of" too.

I have no real issues with any of the points you both highlight regarding Haydale...it is Graphene itself, as the finished commercial product, that, ironically, is the biggest obstacle. I am invested with AGM, Directa Plus (at one time VRS) and Haydale. They all have a finished product that is trying to establish itself somewhere on shelves or in various other businesses...trouble is, Graphene is so very new either very few people know very little of it, or, the products they do have are still trying to prove, to a very small select group of customers, that they do indeed work. Like someone on here, or perhaps on the other site, once said: "this product still belongs in a test tube in some laboratory". Nicely summarized. The point he was making was that perhaps it is just several years, or a decade even, too early for these companies to make any real headway and become self sustaining and profitable...certainly there seems to be the continuing necessity for fund raising. Let us also not forget too that the national Graphene research centre has only just been opened up in Manchester...this in itself clearly indicates there is still an awful long way to go regarding the true understanding and manipulation of this fantastic new material. Will any of these little companies meet with success? Who knows...but if intrepid ingenuity has anything to do with it -- then they ought to!

Better days ARE most certainly ahead...especially if you are a postie. Herr Back has been forced to eat a large slice of good old English crow - yuck!! Seems RMG won every battle...apart from the last one -- the one that counts!! Shades of Julius Caesar. In the end, in spite of his continued posturing, he was always going to be compelled to come to the negotiating table. A deal WILL be struck...and at considerable cost I might add. However, It will allow, finally, both sides to move on -- together -- and forward! Better days to come for RMG? Yes - most certainly! But not without the CWU. End of.

What is the paltry sum of £36 000 for? A new four-wheel drive for Paul perhaps?

Yes, just reading through it. Ohhh dear.......

Repeat and reiterate what I posted several days ago regarding s.p: £2.60 -- £2.70 by 15th Jan; providing what I think will be better than expected (apart from letters which will be considerably worse than expected) trading figures for Christmas period of course...and no immediate re-balloting from CWU for industrial action over the Easter "pressure" period.

Everything now hangs on a compromise between Royal Mail and the CWU...which must come if this change in RMG's fortunes are to continue.

SimonT -- spot on!!!

I know I am at great risk of being accused of stating the blindingly obvious, but any substantial increase, in the short term anyway, depends upon two things: better than expected Christmas figures and a mutually benefiting deal with its workforce. Without either -- the s.p plummets!

Regarding the CWU/worforce. This is where I, the odd exceptions being people like "mad" and "Isleworth" of course, differ from the greater majority of contributors on this board. My contention being: unless RMG take the workforce with them, and forward, on this new venture...then they, RMG, cannot possibly succeed.

I have read many comments here about how the union is muzzled, will do as they are bid, have no choice, cannot influence events, so on and so forth and etc and etc. To all that I say -- B0ll0(ks!!!

Any person who does not understand the Yin/Yang relationship between RMG and the CWU is just completely deluded. They are opposite and opposing faces of the same coin...this complex blend is intrinsic to the very flavour of Royal Mail. Get the blend right and you have a high value bottle of Scotch. Get it wrong -- and you have an undrinkable bottle of P!ss!!!

Just to satisfy my own curiosity, RobinHood69...what would be your envisioned target for the s.p for you to consider selling?

I think the New Year Christmas figures will show a far larger and quicker decline in letter volumes than even RMG have predicted...no real nasty surprises there then. Different story with parcels though: my prediction -- excellent!! And growing faster than predicted. Taking all of that into account I will make a rather enthusiastic prediction for the s.p at dividend date (15th Jan I believe) to be anywhere from £2.60 - £2.70. Hopefully.

Now for the downside: still no compromise with the union...but it seems there could now be every chance of that. However, if there is to be a settlement...it will come at a cost; this will obviously effect the s.p as the settlement will be quite significant. But, all things considered, get this stumbling block out of the way, and there could be a return in 2020 to the initial float price of £3.30. Hopefully.

The s.p tends to drop AFTER the dividend has been paid out, alaninvestor...not after it has just gone ex-dividend; hopefully lots of investors both large and small will reinvest their dividends back into the company...helps stabilize the price.

3.87 pence by the end of the week.

still not buying.

I reckon it is a load of old b0ll0(ks. Cut out, you say? How very inconvenient...or perhaps that should read - "convenient"! Lol...

"Nothing surprising here then", he says, returning from shopping. Been forecasting it for several weeks or so; thinking about it...been forecasting 3 point something pence for several weeks or so as well. Ah well, in the absence of really positive news this week -- that will surely come! And still not buying at these prices...but, of course, you have already guessed that.

4 point something pence today perhaps?