RE: That Memorandum of Understanding20 Nov 2024 07:55
Thanks Timaeus and I agree this is a strong step towards successful outcome now that the experts in various fields have agreed to work together.
Turning to finance, SAE will presumably use project finance/loans to raise the £200 million capital required and we can expect Great British Energy to get involved. I'm not a finance person but the report from Munin provides a way of calculating roughly how quickly such a loan could be repaid.
Munin tells us that 1034 MWh were generated from 3 turbines in October. These turbines combined have a nominal rating of 4.5 MW. Meygen will supply 65MW when complete giving an equivalent out put per month of 14,935 MWh (1034/4.5X65). This is equivalent to 179,226 MWh per year.
The Longspur Research note of 5 November tells us that the quoted strike price of £172 per MWh is worth £240 in today's money. So, 179,226 MWh at £240 = 43,014,400 per year. In round figures, 40 million per year would pay back the capital loan of £200 million in 5 years.
I know it's not quite as simple as saying the first AR3000 turbines will pay for the interest on the loan, the next turbines will start to pay back some of the loan and the payback will accelerate once all turbines are installed and no more capital expense is needed, but it's a way of thinking about the repayment.
Hope someone on this board is better at finance than me and can check these back of the envelope figures. If correct, they show why Meygen is a long term financial cash cow generating money for estimated 25 years, long after the installation has been paid for.