RE: SP23 Jun 2021 18:50
When the annual results come out, they mark the end of a two year period of being unprofitable. There has been no benefit to shareholders yet from Vanchem, Mokopane getting a license, expanding Vametco, rising vanadium prices, Enerox, IES investments or even our ATM shareholding, beyond expanding our NAV, which as a metric really is arbitrary on AIM given the wild fluctuations in SP we see. 0 shareholder returns from all of the above. At this point, it is what it is. You can spin it whatever way you want, but thats an unarguable fact.
After the results land we face what has been a very long time coming - blue skies of growing profitability, expanding production, Eskom, Enerox progress, BelCo actually being built, the effects of new SA generation thresholds being raised and so on. It would be absolutely impossible to justify keeping this share down at that point and whoever is trying will be on a hiding to nothing. They might even try for a bit but the scales are tipping quickly against them.
Bushveld won't be releasing much if any news till that happens next week. Imo we are at the bitter end of this period. After the results come out it really is all there for the taking and given that shareholders have literally paid for and carried all of the weight for the expansion, Bushveld management have a reponsibility, after a two year downtrend (with a paltry recovery to todays SP) to put some effort into realising that into returns for shareholders and showing the wider investment community they are on a mission to deliver, that this is good place to invest and rebuild sentiment, momentum and the buzz around this co.
Strategically all these things coming together presents what ND would term the perfect storm and it really is the perfect chance for the BoD to finally deliver some good times here. This year has always been about H2, - well now we are nearly there and its very nearly time we will start to see that weighting and progress come to fruition. As I say, I think it pretty much all hinges on getting the results out of the way, then there is absolutely no excuse for not seeing a serious re-rate. We should be 35p on V production at current levels. We should also see uplift for everything associated with the progress made around VRFB. The only curve balls for me are the JSE listing, and how the company sees its value upon launch, if it indeed happens, and the continued sale of the Vanchem shares (And general AIM BS).
I don't imagine a single person thought if V prices hit $43-45 after all of the work to build out the business, that we would be at 15p, the one good thing is that the downside is neglible and shares are cheap. Most people are very painfully aware that this company is lightyears ahead of the one that hit 50p in 2018. It's definitely time that progress converted into shareholder value again. All the elements are in place for that to happen.