Member Info for Safy

Definitely not another 15% unless there is news. If we get another double digit rise then chances are someone knows something we don’t.

1-3% up/down is my prediction. But obviously I’m hoping for a blue day.

DD7

44% much higher

Appreciate the reply Magsy

I 100% concur this share has a way of leading people up the wrong path. That’s why I got so deep in this too. People said buy the dips, it would go up. Just when your getting comfortable it’ll drop below the buy in price. And then they say buy the dip. Rinse and repeat.

You know where I’m going with this.

It’s a day to be happy, we’re finally up. But I’m as cautious as you. Especially on no news. Can’t see it going higher than 130p on sentiment alone.

Magsy,

Point taken, though when it dropped to 100p the first time it was a different set of circumstances behind it. I think we all know that.

Secondly, I’m not saying this time it’s different but surely in the next two weeks we will get at least one approval. Approvals are significant and will kick up the SP.

Obviously if we don’t get them in two weeks, we’ll be visiting 100p again.

The buy sell trades are 100% wrong

I was monitoring them on L2 and soooo many went through as sells when they were clearly buys. It wasn’t even close to a sell.

Pl75

Yes im not selling a bean. I disagree :-)

Antibody tests will be needed everywhere once the lockdowns kick in again. The government cannot stop critical services or even reduce services if another flare up happened, and well frankly if you have antibodies your fit to go out.

Ignore the studies about antibodies going away after a few months. I proved on their with quotes from the Oxford medics that they only expect the vaccine to work for up to a year. Its not a lifetime fix. How do you test if the vaccine has developed antibodies? or when the vaccine is wearing off? The Nature article where they tested a handful of people.... in a Skiing village where they have an outbreak, they test over 1500 people, and over 40% had antibodies.

Dont trust all the scientists, some of them are paid advisors to pharma companies, some dont go with the status quo, some are just plain awkward.

ODX also manufacture other types of tests. There is lots of potential there. Im not expecting £2, but certainly over 60p by Sept.

PL75

No rivalries from me, im in ODX too lol look how that turned out.
For a Covid stock AVCT is just as good as any other ones out there.

Back to GDR

ST exactly my point. I dont know whats blinded them on AVCT bb, but they believe the Affirmer tech is imminent. Its wishful thinking bordering lunacy thats how i feel about it.

Their CEO isnt stupid, taking 30m from the placing to put into his cancer drugs just proves how massively under funded they were.

OlderandWiser,

Its not fair of me to knock another stock on this forum, you can print this statement out and keep it for reference. AVCT is massively over hyped. Covid aside more of their tech is pre clinical. Please research how long it takes for anything to move from preclinical to phase I and Phase II, thereafter you have Phase III and approvals. It takes years and years with millions of pounds of investment to make it.

A comparable example, Tils have a drug Miciclib, which took 3 years to get to Phase II from Phase I. Dont be fooled by the hype. If, and i mean a massive IF, they somehow get a drug into market (remember FDA approval is around 13% success rate - ill also mention if they fail FDA your SP will be scraping the barrel thats how fast itll fall) then you will see £5, and you will be waiting many years for that.

The fact that most of their treatments are not in Phase I or Phase II, its an incredible risk. Let me also say, IF the tech was a one in a lifetime opportunity, the big boys are not stupid, the money they spend on R&D in 1 year would buy out the whole of AVCT.

For a covid play AVCT is fine, if it pulls off. For the cancer drugs i would advise you to stay well away.

Nickel

Its above placing price, its the lowest % decrease weve had in days, what does that tell you. If this drops below 40p they are going to get hoovered up quicker than you can blink.

Its not necessarily news, could literally be nothing but sentiment and low entry changing the SP.

And lets hope its sentiment. We really need the SP to be 150p before news, to propel us over 200p.

SNG was up almost 20% on no news. Other Covid stocks have done similar.

Ethio

stay where you are, on Friday we recovered 10% when you came.

Just to prove i am not a deramper

From 11 companies they have in their portfolio

3 have greater than the 8m convertible bond we had
1 has equal 8m - same as us
6 have less invested than us

That puts us in the highly invested categories.

In Governance they have representation from B&M Gates foundation, Goldman Sachs, IAVI which is a nonprofit scientific research organization, KfW, which is a huge bank in Germany amongst other companies. Basically it translates to serious people. Governance is a strategic part of GHIF operations, its basically oversight in business terms. All those people must be part of the decision to convert bonds to shares.

Having GHIF on board is more important than our CEO. That gives me a lot of confidence.

Thanks flying machine, good post.

ST

Saudi Arabia, one of the richest countries in the world...Tripled VAT and halved the cost of living allowance which the state gives to its residents.

Bozo yesterday wouldnt rule out a tax hike after his FDR style boost the infrastructure rally.

Today BoE says V shaped turn on the economy forming.

Simply put, its save the economy at all costs, let the people die if they have to. I know people will disagree with me on this but i have no doubt about that in my mind. Cummings is also quoted as saying the same thing. "Save the economy and if a few older people die then so be it". That was his quote or as nearest to his quote.

Aside from my interest in GDR, every town should have testing stations for anyone who wants a covid test or is prescribed one by their doctor following either coming into contact with someone or showing symptoms. We are no where near that level of capability.

The Yanks ****ed up but at least they are testing and I saw Deborah saying the other day that young people should go out and get tested, so they are actually promoting testing. Our government doesnt even know how many tests they are doing.

Tolster,

I would honestly forget the takeover talk. It's borderline impossible its going to happen right now. Not a single covid testing company has been taken over to date. Just focus on the sales side which is the news we are waiting for.

Antony

The Turkish fiasco was the governments own doing, the Turkish government gave the UK free PPE Aid. Yep we are taking handouts now too.

Its the PPE they tried to private source from Turkey not using their government which turned out to be duff as you rightfully pointed out.

JSP

In theory it shouldnt, if you were going to buy at 40p and say it dropped to 39p, why wouldnt you buy?
If you were an ii and wanted to negotiate a cheaper entry, but didnt get it, what would stop you from buying at sub 40p, if it does momentarily drop sub 40p, i think theyll be hoovered up very quickly.

Jay

Thats an interesting article, one thing ill give credit to the yanks on is they always go BIG!! supersize meals and mcdonalds, to providing stimulus packages.

Now they are maxing their testing program. One thing is for sure, if the Yanks are struggling to keep up, and Roche on the weekend said they are at full capacity, then it has to be a positive for companies like GDR.

i hope nobody had a stop loss at 5p!!!