RE: Get ready for starting gun!22 Oct 2022 21:35
Phase 2 does have a tendency to have a higher failure rate.
The main reasons for this is drug being trialled for different indications. An initial indication may be a fairly simplistic indication such as Psoriasis ( where at the moment exists an unmet need for new treatments), If we were then to select another indication such as Crohns or Ulcerative Colitus it may well fail the phase 2 trial. This can be proven by factual reporting
'Bristol Myers Squibb’s deucravacitinib has hit its first bump in the road. After blowing Amgen’s Otezla away in psoriasis, deucravacitinib went into a phase 2 readout in ulcerative colitis flying high—only to fail to meet the primary or secondary endpoints.'
At present we have Tofacitinib (2016) for IBD
IL-2, -4, -6, -7, -9, -12, -15, -21, -23, and -27
Essentially, tofacitinib inhibits these signal transduction pathways, resulting in downregulation of a variety of inflammatory mediators. Several JAK inhibitors have been developed for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, IBD, and psoriasis. Each of these agents has variable selectivity for the different JAK isotypes (JAK 1, 2, 3, and TYK2). In this respect, tofacitinib broadly inhibits JAK 1, 2, and 3. In ulcerative colitis, the dominant benefit is likely via JAK 1 inhibition with downregulation of IL-6 and interferon-gamma.
From April 2022
Inflammatory bowel diseases, comprising ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease, are chronic, immune-mediated and progressive inflammatory disorders affecting the gastrointestinal tract. Tofacitinib is the first oral small-molecule Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor licensed and approved by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) for use in moderately-to-severely active UC after intolerance, inadequate response, or loss of response to conventional treatment or biologic therapy. The pivotal OCTAVE studies demonstrated the efficacy and safety of tofacitinib for the induction and maintenance of remission in UC. A growing body of evidence from real-world data supports the positive clinical and endoscopic benefits observed with tofacitinib treatment in the OCTAVE trials. This narrative review summarizes the current literature regarding the mechanism of action of tofacitinib, data from registrational trials, emerging real-world evidence, and an overview of the most recent safety evidence.
We could conclude in the absence of contradictory data from above, that it is unlikely for a pure TYK2 inhibitor on its own for IBD as does not inhibit all the pathways shown above.
it is virtually impossible to have specificity of JAK 1, 2 or 3. Selectivity yes.
An indication in a patent description is not to be taken as a guarantee that the compound will work effectively enough to reach clinical approval. Likewise there will be an indication or indications that a compound will be highly likely to reach clinical approval. These indications will come to light after phase1 trials.