Member Info for RuckRover

Moonparty, yes, that is my biggest worry that they will be bought out too cheap. However, £1 or perhaps £1.50 per share would be some consolation. I can’t imagine a bargain basement price much lower than that unless the trials go pear shaped.

Just been a short piece on bbc breakfast about pancreatic cancer. Highlighting the fact it is difficult to diagnose, diagnosis is late and the prognosis is poor. I think less than 3% survive 5 years. The lady from pancreatic cancer UK was calling for more research and funding. I wonder if she knows what Scancell have in the pipeline? The program will loop round if anyone is interested.

Thanks for all the responses guys. I should just add, the heart attack was minor but still waiting to see if there is permanent damage. At least he knows he is not on the placebo!

Morning Inan, no I don’t have any other gems, I am in SCLP long term because I believe in the science, and it is a UK company and have had a dabble with VAL purely as a trading opportunity. The financial side was not my primary motivation for replying to Ivy’s post. People close to me have had a number of cancers - colon, stomach, breast and myeloma. The latter is on a trial at Leicester Hospital comparing chemo with chemo and a monoclonal antibody (isatuximab). Unfortunately he is on the chemo only. One of the side effects is cardiac problems and he suffered a heart attack last week. I suppose this only strengthens your argument about safety and efficacy.

Morning Ivy, all. Thanks for posting that, I agree with your comments. When you have loved ones, friends and colleagues who have been touched by cancer it is only natural to look at what treatments are available. You then see the vast array of trials and research projects taking place, many novel, each with their own particular approach. No one can predict which will ultimately succeed. I suppose it is only human nature to want the one we back with money to succeed, but our humanity should wish they all do and eradicate all cancers for good. None of us have the time to fully understand the science of EVERY drug being tested, so it is not possible to predict with absolute certainty what the ultimate winners will be. I think keeping an open mind and not judging others investment choices is possibly a wise course. Aimo

I don't know, I never visit there and never post.

Inan, your problem is that if you don't understand a concept or take a different view then it must be wrong. I have no intention of deleting any of my history as 1) I stand by 99% of what I have said 2) I don't have a problem admitting a mistake or changing my view and 3) I wouldn't want to deprive you of one of your only pleasures - digging through old threads looking for ego fertilizer.

Haven't looked in for a while (busy with work and watching football) and note we have nearly reached the level of ADVFN BB For those with little time, her are the highlights: Inan: "I believe in free speech 100%, however i also believe in others free speech, " PMSL Inan: because your just making up stuff ... to suit what ever game your playing Would PMSL but already PMS Inan: Rats you cannot plug a sinking ship with a wine cork. Not exactly true, depends how big the bottle is. Inan: what brings outs idiots ? This sort of stuff xtra: stop being a cock. 9 Recs! Inan: No negatives ... investors with a clear understanding are patient. Should read investor with limited understanding is patient. No negatives? Right. The most interesting post is roses post saying there is nothing interesting here

C7 yes, very nice to see blue. I had missed that while I was blethering on about 14p

Ray, I understand that and agree that the points you list should result in a higher SP. I too, as an investor, feel it is undervalued. MY point is that you cannot value it using probability in the manner of your first post. Here's why: Suppose someone had bought half the tickets in a lottery, The prize was �1M. Now, using your methodology the ticket is worth 50% of �1M. Now ask yourself, would you pay �500K for a lottery ticket where the best you could hope for was to double your money? I wouldn't! How much would you pay? �5K, �10K? Do you feel lucky? So you haven't got a 100% chance of making �500K you have a 50% chance of making either �1M or nothing. So despite the potential value and likelyhoods, this is why the share (possibly worth �6) is changing hands for a mere 14p. This is how much the market considers the risk is worth, yes RISK. As for trusting the market, who do you trust? Panmore at 59p, Inanaca's at �6 (or is it �8 now?) I for know if I trust the market and pay 14p today I probably won't lose too much tomorrow. As I say, AIMO

Ray, You must have worked in sales! >or ModI1 $1 billion x 15% = .15 billion (entering phase 1 next year < Modi1 has a 15% chance of being worth $1 Billion The flip side is it has 85% chance of being worth nothing. The 2 outcomes are mutually exclusive, you can't value it at successful outcome value multiplied by the chance of success. This is why we are at 14p and not �6 !! AIMHO

Is the �keenly awaited combo trial� for lung cancer using Keytruda the SCIB trial?

C7, appreciate you giving us your thoughts so candidly. I can imagine what it must be like - it would be like me getting Gates, Jobs and Zuckenburg on my team! Atb

Keiny, it wasn't really news was it? We've known the patent was going to be granted for weeks now. Zak Mir - breakout to 131p - those were the days!

No, lol

Yes, back in UK since 1973! I played union as well scrum half of course. My hero was Gareth Edwards but mal meninges was a legend. He was a policeman in Queensland

I went to school in Australia and it was the position I played in Aussie rules football, similar to scrum half.

Ivy, well said! If I could find the rec button on the lse app I’d press it!

Inan, you ask " why would you hold SCLP and VAL?" Answer: to make money.

C7 I'm very much an investor rather than trader. As I stated earlier, even as an investor, I sold out completely on two occasions. This was purely to maximise my investment. What you have to understand is Inan is completely fixated by the science to the exclusion all other factors and risks. The last sentence of his post " a diversified portfolio is just garbage" says it all really. So don't let it upset you.