Expected RECOVERY to come...???27 Jul 2020 08:04
I posted this earlier but thought it would be useful to post once more, amongst the noise from the shorter brigade who were up late last re-ramping.
The SP is oversold in my opinion and has factored in all the risks.
This recovered to 60-70p when the Cineworld BoD alleviated the finance concerns and really dropped because of the risk of re-opening and the lack of movies to premier. A lot on fear.
The weekend and the news updates have changed that now.
1. Tenet back on the table for August release in Europe (including U.K.), Asia (including China) suggesting other studios could follow suite, too.
2. New Mutants re-iterated for August for U.K.
3. Arizona, Florida and Texas US trouble states declining from their former peaks.
4. Re-open of Cineworld, England and UNLIMITED membership re-activated set for Friday 31 July and Unhinged and Proxima to showcase.
5. Southern Hemisphere and their current winter season showing NO second wave.
6. Continued vaccine and treatment developments and trials emerging
7. Cineworld USA re-opening being touted as mid to late August 2020.
8. Fitch removed the Ratings Watch Negative (RWN) and said Cineworld have alleviated their short term liquidity concerns. They have enough cash to July 2021 if they remain closed. They said they set Cineworld on negative because of the uncertainty of Coronavirus, that is something all industries face, but acknowledge the rapid recovery they can take. Cineworld has a B grade against it which has a default risk of 4-10% and loan maturity isn’t due until 2023. More than enough time to see a vaccine in place and global economies to recover never mind Cineworld.
Good luck, all.