Member Info for RS2002

Have you noticed their need to keep an inflammatory titled thread at the top by bumping it?
Their desperation is telling.

SG and IDW are handles.

They can be logged in from several computers and terminals.

This means their paid deramps could be part of a large group of shorters, not just one individual.

Ask yourself, what is their motive? To help you or scare you?

Why do they want to scare you? To encourage you to crystallise a paper loss into a real loss.

Investment is just that. Invest in research and let it mature.

Investors should take a balanced view and DYOR.

National lockdowns are a thing of the past.

Schools reopen next month without any social distance or masks.

Vaccines are progressing.

Cineworld remain on course for reopen in the Americas on 21 Aug.

This share is being manipulated by shorters, all investors can do is sit tight if they believe in the company and its fundamentals.

We await our H1 results and roadmap for 2021 and of course the 21 Aug.

I emailed them at investors@cineworld.co.uk to ask.

Their website states they have an email notification service, so you can register your email to receive a mail shot when it is announced and published.

This isn’t a ramp because it is a fact.

We have witness extreme volatility with Cineworld.

22 May 2020 = 58p
26 May 2020 = 69p
27 May 2020 = 77p
28 May 2020 = 102p intra-day high

Within the space of 4 trading days saw the share price take off and this was BEFORE Cineworld opened any doors.

If market sentiment improves; the stimulus deal is agreed and US cases continue to decline along with vaccine news, it will support a recovery from these lows. If the US remains on course for opening in 2 weeks on 21 Aug, we should see a recovery.

Good luck, all.

Good luck, Denis.

Pre-Covid 19 investments would not be looked at daily.

Granted we are seeing volatility, if you’re confident in your investment and aren’t skewed by those with an interest to short, switch off this BB and come back 21 August.

For now we await the H1 results.

Rival AMC have faced a very hard time and restructured and financed.

Investor Hosai mentioned they are now at 54%(?) of their pre-coronavirus share price. We are at 20% do a huge disparity which does suggest we are oversold.

"We have substantially increased our cash reserves, and improved our liquidity in other ways to extend our financial runway into 2021," says CEO Adam Aron. "Now we can focus solely on the all-important task of opening our theatres in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East safely and responsibly, allowing us once again to welcome moviegoers back to our big screens at AMC."

This has demonstrated to the market the survival of cinemas.

No one knows for sure when the H1 results are due but expect it to be today based on press coverage and the 2019 H1 published around this time, last year.

Today is 2 weeks to US re-open.

That is a big milestone.

It may be manipulated further with tree shakes but long term investors need to accept the volatility. They are not trading it for intra gains.

Each investor has their own strategy including the shorters so I’m not bitter. What I don’t like is manipulation and bullying tactics to scare investors making rash decisions.

Take a balanced view and if Cineworld is of interest, take a take and be patient.

If it doesn’t appeal, good luck with the rest of your portfolio.

Why I remain invested?

1. Sufficient liquidity to keep them going to July 2021 in the UNLIKELY case they remain closed for the balance of the year.
2. They have re-open most of their cinemas across their territories and AVOIDED increased debt of $2.3 BILLION when Cineplex (Canadian cinema group) breached the terms of the takeover and was subsequently scrapped.
3. US re-open making up 73% of their estate is set for 21 August, so TWO weeks from today.
4. Big blockbuster Tenet is being released 26 Aug in the UK and 3rd Sep in the US
5. Share price is 80% down from 176p (pre-covid)
6. US cases declining
7. Vaccine trials progressing and approaching end of Phase 3 trials (in the case of Russia, ready for October).
8. Demonstrating resistance to drop below 34p when further bad news is received on movie delays or changes to PVoD strategies for certain studios and movies.

Cineworld’s probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score,

Source: https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/ratio/CINE.L/Probability-Of-Bankruptcy

The risk of default of B grade DEBT = 4-10%

Risk of bankruptcy 7%

- negative outlook ~10%
- positive outlook ~90%

Whilst the grade of their debt is B, unless you’re a capital fund which has a desire to trade DEBT SECURITY which is a type of financial asset that is created when one party lends money to another. For example, corporate bonds issued by corporations and sold to investors. Corporate bond investors lend money to corporations in return for a pre-established number of interest payments along with the return of their principal upon the bond's maturity date. Cineworld’s maturity for its debt is 2023, but keep in mind when purchasing stock, you are trading EQUITIES SECURITY.

In short, unless you’re trading debt securities, the B grade is not relative to the performance of the company merely demonstrates the 4-6% risk of default for those who are doing debt securities trading such as institutions.

Cineworld share investors are buying into is a EQUITY SECURITY and are assessing the value of the stock on its ability to operate and perform post coronavirus.

IFRS 16 is a way to incorporate leases into debt.

Cineworld’s net debt is $3.5BN as declared as of March 2020, we will see what it is at H1 soon in terms of cash burn and what contingent funds they have to sustain operations as they approach US (73%) of their estate re-opening on 21 August, this month.

Private investors don’t be manipulated by those pushing negative sentiment, DYOR and consider the company for your portfolio with a balanced view of risk vs reward.

Good luck.

This bodes really well for a global cinema players as it proves that lenders are in SUPPORT of seeing cinemas continuing operations. AMC also cited that they have strengthen their position to weather a closure of their cinemas throughout 2021 as well should they remain in a longer state of hibernation.

I am optimistic to a good result from the BoD of Cineworld, convening H1 2020.

Cineworld avoided an additional $2.3 BILLION so to put that into perspective means they have a means of additional credit.

I’m invested in Cineworld for the long term.

I have faith in global cinema recovering as well as all industries that have been impacted during the pandemic.

Industries will need to adapt, Cineworld and cinemas are doing just that.

They have implemented controls and procedures to work around the current considerations such as frequent cleaning, social distance and booking facilities. I ride the underground each day into the City of London. I have visited Cineworld on two occasions since it has open and my third visit is tomorrow, with friends.

I am here for the long haul.

Good luck, everyone and may your investments return a handsome reward for your patience.

Cineworld have a debt maturity of 2023.

Global recovery will be with us well before this time at the worst case.

Cineworld will come good.

If this recovers to 165p long term and continues to pay out a dividend, you could be sitting on a nice yearly passive return.

Use the calculator to work out what your dividend is per quarter, key in the number of shares you own. Granted dividends is suspended now, once the recovery is established and global economies are back and running, they will resume the dividend.

Calculator here: https://www.dividendmax.com/united-kingdom/london-stock-exchange/travel-and-leisure/cineworld/dividends

@ hstrclybadnvstr

You're sitting on a paper loss but if you have confidence that global cinema is here to stay, then stay put. It is the reason you invested to begin with.

Don't crystallise a paper loss to an actual loss.

You don't need the funds yet and take comfort that prior to Covid-19, there were investors with a sizeable take at much higher averages i.e. 200p, 165p, 100p etc.

There was no news today to warrant the drop, other than short positions by capital funds.

Schools in the Uk are re-opening, next month.

Children will be sitting elbow to elbow, sharing teaching materials, not wearing any masks or adhering to any social distance in an environment that has frequent touch points. Ask yourself, if the dynamics of a classroom remain, if passengers can fly long distance, if you can ride the metro and return to your office/desk environment, you can certainly sit, in static, staggered seating for 90mins and watch a movie.

Stay put and change your strategy to long term if you need to.

You will get your money back and some when Cineworld re-open their US theatres and we have some positive news on the vaccine, which isn't just going to recover this company/share, but your entire portfolio.

I also advise on diversifying your portfolio going forward but what is done is done.

We should see H1 results, tomorrow and Cineworld can re-affirm investors that their liquidity position is strong to see them through this year and into the next.

Good luck and continue to be patient.

Recovery on the way.

I hope investors took advantage funds, permitting.

Top-up time.

They make-up over 15% of Regal cinemas in the US.

State Count Percentage
California 87 15.85%
Florida 46 8.38%
New York 46 8.38%
Virginia 29 5.28%

You should open a big short on IAG @ backsidepassage

He will be telling us about the (IRFS 16) lease cost for the tea vending machine for the factory workers, next.

You are aware that Cineworld have only opened their Cinemas in England in the UK.
Wales and Scotland are closed and will be opening later.
Aberdeen makes up only 3% of the Scotland population and local lock-down are good as they promote the rest of the country to remain open.

Nice gains there, Investroid.

I'm seeing gains across aviation at the moment which is good.

I've also noticed that oil is creeping up which is giving confidence that a recovery is on the horizon.

Cineworld will move, it just needs to output H1 and get the US re-open.

Regional lockdowns are nothing news.

We have seen Leicester, Luton and middle England towns lockdown.

The important thing is this sends assurance to the market that any flare-ups are dealt with LOCALLY.