RE: The likelihood there will be no war27 Aug 2025 15:37
A month ago might have been worring but tigray unlikely to pick a fight so near the end of the rainy season as they would get hammered by drones like last time. Recent splits inside tigray work in Ethiopias favour as well. Tigray will likely have it hands full with that till end of rainy season then by June next year likely Ethiopia will be stronger and Tigray even more split and weaker. Whole thing a nonsense anyway as Ethiopia do not want to be embroiled inside Tigray and Tigray does not have the strength especially after a damaging conflict and splits inside it own country to topple abiy. Just got a few idiots stirring the pot a bit like here. Things were a lot more dire last time and even then the conflict came no where near TK.