Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Start part one webinar rought transcript/Summary
Harry conducted general meeting motions passed..webinar taking questions after short presentation..
Presentation slide one companies now in the Arabian shield area industry now arriving by the plane load. Current Priorities slide. government partner spending money now moved onto second bank approval. Approval from large organisations huge companies and government involved. All focused on closing and launching.
Saudi significant rate of expansion Kefi being encouraged by competitive pressure to expand more quickly. Pipeline of projects. Now the company in effect has pulled together partnerships kefi doing things for the first time in a frontier market.
Talks about Npv and how undervalued kefi it is ditto slide comparing kefi to other companies. TK Project economics slide viable at 1200 but shows other values up to and over 2000.
Slide expected milestones walks through milestones 90 percent through as taken as a complete package. “Only when you know both banks approvals are in you back pocket”(open wallet)” closing funds start to get drawdown in correct sequence. Now in the business of closing an optimizing been approached be interested parties now we are close.
Saudi two projects growing, between those project they will dwarf TK financing done at subsidiary level. Regional exploration lots of license areas the third parties wanting to engage and invest in our business.
Upshunt it is modeler housing and teams are already on the ground see rns and they do not need to move every house can move them in stages depending on which part of the project will be worked on next. People will obviously be eager to move due to compensation.
“Resettlement is amongst the first steps after we launch the development of Tulu Kapi, i.e. one cannot move the people without having launched. Putting it another way, project launch means drawing the funds, moving the 350 households and triggering development works.” After we launch.
DV you can boil it down to basically they have a second member of the consortium give board approvals and a combination of fine tuning over how TK is financed and the higher gold price make the whole project more valuable. Plus the preparations taking place indicate the confidence of the consortium.
At Jibal Qutman, initial drilling at the Asfingia prospect has intercepted near-surface gold such as 13m at 8g/t gold.
At Abu Salal, approximately 50km south of Hawiah, drilling has intercepted massive and semi-massive sulphide mineralisation containing copper, gold, zinc and silver in multiple horizons across a 2,600m strike length, with true widths of up to 11m.
Should get more news from JQ soon as well and plenty going on in Saudi.
htTps://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/1043824/auking-mining-signs-mou-to-explore-and-develop-mineral-projects-in-saudi-arabia-1043824.html
Saudi Arabia also increased the activities of the Saudi Geological Survey. It recently awarded a $207 million contract to the Chinese Geological Survey as part of a bid to complete, by 2025, 50% of the survey of Saudi Arabia’s Arabian Shield — a more than 230,000 square mile area of Precambrian rocks in western Saudi Arabia.
The Gulf State has revised upwards estimates for its largely untapped mineral resources to $2.5 trillion, from a 2016 forecast of $1.3 trillion. This estimate is based on 30% of the Arabian Shields exploration, suggesting there is significant discovery upside potential.
HtTps://news.cision.com/akobo-minerals-ab/r/akobo-minerals-ab-releases-updated-and-improved-production-mine-plan-for-first-12-months,c3951408
The Scandinavian-based Ethiopian gold exploration and mining company has today released an improved gold production mine plan for its first 12 months of mining operations in the Eastern and Western winzes (tunnels). The updated plan improves the current production schedule and will have a significant effect on the initial revenue and EBITDA from the Segele mine. Most of the improvements will come in the first part of production.
Akobo Minerals is a Scandinavian-based gold exploration and boutique mining company, currently holding an exploration license covering 182 km2 and a mining license covering 16 km2 in the Gambela region and Dima Woreda, Ethiopia. The company has established itself as the leading gold exploration company in Ethiopia through more than 13 years of on-the-ground activity, which has now been enhanced further with the development of its Segele mine.
Akobo Minerals’ Segele mine has an Inferred and Indicated Mineral Resource of 68,000 ounces, (so mines can get of the ground though Akobo is smaller than TK)
Its NPV is £304 million for KEFI's projected net beneficial interest, assuming a gold price of US$2,166/oz, being the spot as at 22 March 2024 and discounting at 5% of net estimated after tax cash flows for equity, the industry standard approach, so as to allow market comparisons of listed developers. At the long-term consensus gold price of US$1,864/oz, the NPV is £204 million. (notice how big a difference the gold price makes)
"The fundamental value to KEFI of the three advanced projects is estimated at £372 million (calculated as set out above for Tulu Kapi and ascribing market average metrics to preliminary production projections in respect of the advanced Saudi projects which are still at the pre-Definitive Feasibility Study stage). This valuation indicator is c.12 times KEFI's current share market capitalisation."
Smelly will be busy writing up the webinar as it happens to ask questions as well which is why I posted earlier to nudge people to ask their own. From what I can see in the information given which you totally ignored your are wrong and inline with the same costs or lower. If you do not even understand that there is a difference between debt and equity the impact of money being paid earlier...
Seriously Smelly peddling the same rubbish after I shot down your argument in a previous post. That’s the same kind of level of garbage TCM comes out with.
Again….”US$100 million was to be provided through the issuance of two types of Equity Risk Notes ("ERN"), one type for MNC's with no operations in Ethiopia and another lower-cost ERN for those with accumulated retained earnings in Ethiopian operations. The Company is pleased to report that it can now focus on the lower-cost ERN - fixed at 12% per annum. These notes remain repayable in cash from operations or, as a fall-back, in KEFI equity (at KEFI's election), convertible in year 4 (being year 2 of full production) at the then prevailing KEFI share price.” So only talkng about part of the hundred million and that can be paid back in year two of production and that on a gold price of 1864..
the Equity Risk Note, has been streamlined under the lower-cost approach. Our modelling and production profile for this high-grade open pit gold mine, based on a gold price of US$1,864/oz (versus current spot of US$2,170/oz), shows sufficient cash will have been generated at the proposed time of repayment to repay these ERN in cash at the time they fall due.” Based on a gold price of 1864 then factor in by the time kefi get into production it will likely be closer to 2170 even may be a lot higher than that and the may be able have the money paid of this component back after one year of production not two.
Also ratio of debt to equity from 70:30 to 80:20
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUybAcNYpBA helped lower the overall finance cost. “the fact that they came to eighty twenty… because a particular source of capital is attractive to us…effectively allowed us to use more lower cost capital. So thats great.
"All syndicate members have agreed a schedule for all remaining pre-launch tasks including their respective formal approvals ahead of full financial close mid-2024."
"I can also advise the Company has received confirmation from the co-lender Africa Finance Corporation ("AFC") that its approval processes are underway and progressing well for its-intended US$95 million investment, which would provide the balance of the required funding for Project launch."
"Establishment and deepening of operational banking support and working capital sources:
· Ethiopia's largest bank, the Government-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, has established onshore Ethiopian BIRR and US Dollar Project operating accounts and is engaging on providing various working capital facilities as we advance;
· Ethiopia's largest non-Government bank, Awash Bank, has done likewise and has also approved a working capital facility for TKGM. It will initially be drawn to Ethiopian BIRR 35 million (approximately £480,000) and can expand as the launch proceeds; and
· A major international bank, Citibank, is in discussions about opening the offshore operating accounts in London, in accordance with the foreign exchange exemptions granted by the central bank, the National Bank of Ethiopia."
Do not think all those banking arrangement would be happening unless the consortium were confident of the second bank board and credit approvals.
Kefi getting a good deal as multi nationals find it hard to repatriate profits from Ethiopia and kefi can pay back the ERN in cash from future production “These notes remain repayable in cash from operations or, as a fall-back, in KEFI equity (at KEFI's election), convertible in year 4 (being year 2 of full production) at the then prevailing KEFI share price.” and from kefi presentation “The intention to refinance the debt package with conventional corporate finance during the second year of production”
Https://www.kefi-goldandcopper.com/files/announcements/kefi-tulu-kapi-gold-project-launch-update-25mar24.pdf
“A positive development is that recent regulatory changes have facilitated the improvement to the equity funding structure which has lowered overall finance costs. The regulatory changes of note were the foreign exchange exemptions, the increase in the maximum permissible ratio of debt to equity from 70:30 to 80:20 and the deeming as foreign direct investment the re-investment of the local currency (Ethiopian BIRR) retained earnings of multi-national corporations (“MNC”) into new business sectors.”
https://www.barrons.com/news/ethiopia-to-open-up-real-estate-to-foreign-buyers-71c90145
https://birrmetrics.com/ethiopia-to-permit-foreign-home-purchases/
In an effort to attract more foreign capital, Ethiopia will now allow foreign investors to own property for the first time. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed (PhD) announced the loosening of property ownership laws during a meeting with investors on March 22, 2024.
While Ethiopians and the Ethiopian diaspora have long been allowed to purchase property, foreigners were previously restricted unless investing in approved commercial projects. But PM Abiy said foreigners will now be permitted ownership rights without such obligations.
If you have any questions for investor meet and have not sent them in already get them in now.
Investor meet
Questions
Questions can be pre-submitted until 09:00 on Mon, 25 Mar. You may also have the opportunity to ask questions whilst attending the live presentation.
HtTps://press.et/herald/?p=92874
“Mines State Minster Million Mathewos told the Ethiopian Press Agency (EPA) that the country has discovered over 517 tons of gold deposit in Benishangul Gumuz, Gambella, Oromia and Tigray states while attributing the finding to the geological survey that has been conducted for the last 15 years.
He indicated that the deposit resource would be extracted in the coming years whereas the geological survey activities would continue extensively.
The Ministry in cooperation with stakeholders, is supporting different gold processing companies to develop gold massively, Million said.”
“Likewise, the country is constructing its first huge gold processing plant in Benishangul Gumuz state, he expressed adding that extra gold processing plants would be built in Wellega, Guji, Gambella, and Tigray in the coming two years.”
htTps://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=855217539951262&set=a.465946942211659&locale=en_GB
Furthermore, recent regulatory changes affecting the equity funding structure are expected to lower overall finance costs, including foreign exchange exemptions, an increase in the maximum permissible ratio of debt to equity and investments by multinational corporations of local currency retained earnings deemed as foreign direct investment.
https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/1043850/kefi-gold-reports-further-progress-towards-tulu-kapi-s-mid-2024-financial-close-1043850.html
Really Smelly its part of 100 mill from a much bigger deal that can be paid back years down the line in cash which due to the higher gold price can be paid a lot earlier than expected think you should check your calculator over the eventual costs.
Everyone knows you are desperate to get back in a low price as possible but really.
Multi-national corporations ("MNC") into new business sectors.
Within the development capital budget of US$320 million, US$100 million was to be provided through the issuance of two types of Equity Risk Notes ("ERN"),
The Company can confirm a longstanding and large MNC investor in the ERN has now received initial board approvals. All syndicate members have agreed a schedule for all remaining pre-launch tasks including their respective formal approvals ahead of full financial close mid-2024.
"I am delighted to report the initial board approval of a major local equity-capital provider.
"I can also advise the Company has received confirmation from the co-lender Africa Finance Corporation ("AFC") that its approval processes are underway and progressing well for its-intended US$95 million investment, which would provide the balance of the required funding for Project launch.
"All syndicate members are supportive and are working to ensure final documentation is entered into by mid-2024 to enable full Project launch and drawdown of funds. I look forward to providing further updates as appropriate."
Basically another board approval and the second bank approval is on its way the other board approval is on better terms as well
in Ethiopia and another lower-cost ERN for those with accumulated retained earnings in Ethiopian operations. The Company is pleased to report that it can now focus on the lower-cost ERN - fixed at 12% per annum.
plus lots of detail and the kicker
Conditions Precedent to Signing Definitive Detailed Formal Agreements ("Detailed Documentation"):
· The aforementioned processes are designed to be progressed by the end of May 2024 to the stage that warrants signing of Detailed Documentation between all syndicate members;
Which means more board approvals between now and then.
Https://fastcompanyme.com/news/saudi-arabias-regional-hqs-program-gains-momentum-as-more-firms-set-up-bases/
Launched this year, the program incentivizes companies operating in the kingdom, offering benefits like a 30-year zero percent corporate and withholding tax rate for RHQ activities and a 10-year exemption from Saudization requirements, which mandate a certain percentage of employees to be Saudi nationals…
https://circuit.news/2024/03/21/the-daily-circuit-gulf-ipos-galore-uae-invests-in-africa/
Strong post-listing performance is becoming a signature of the region’s companies – returning an average of 40% to investors – and spurring international interest in IPOs here. Strong investor demand has been bolstered by government reforms, particularly in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, amid a privatization push.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-03-21/these-9-jim-rogers-clips-will-make-you-want-buy-gold