Information7 Nov 2019 14:06
Information
Information is an integral part of investing in shares. If you read trade publications, company reports (Annual and Interim Accounts) and RNS’s and do some Company House research then you would think you would have a fair chance of making an informed choice, or would you?
It is often said on B.B. that shares are forward sold but almost nobody has been able to prove it (watch this space)
On another share I found 12 or 13 anomalies that indicated that 1.2 billion shares were forward sold and the company found a novel way to sort this “local issue out”.
Now if a Company was going to do a placing at multiples of their nominal value there could be an opportunity to “forward sell” (if that is allowed) but in Clear Leisure there can’t be any forward selling as we are currently under nominal value (but this could be wrong)
FG recently made an investment in ForCrowd with a lock-in period with a clause about the “new shareholders” being able to sell up to €40,000 of their shares between 15/11/19 and 15/12/19 and if they sell below their cost of 0.3482p then they can claim 90% of the difference. So if they “begin” selling next Friday (officially) at say 0.18p then on paper they would be down 0.1682p per share.
How many shares could they “unload” from next Friday? Using exchange rate of say €1.10 to £1 then they could sell about £36,364 shares. They could sell about £36,364 worth of shares at the prevailing price of say 0.18p and they would “unload” about 20,202,020 say 20 million.
Now if they did “unload” 20,202,020 shares they would have technically been worth about £70,343 so the paper loss is about £33,980 and we would be liable for 90% of this “loss” so about £30,581.
So we have to issue them with shares to make-up their “manufactured loss” but we can’t issue shares less than 0.25p so I will use this for calculating how many shares FG has to issue for this poorly executed “deal” and it is about 12,232,727 shares all because our shares are currently low.
It gets worse, because in 12 months ForCrowd can sell all their shares under the same terms and basically bleed us dry.
Now when/if the Company, PR, Nomad / Broker come clean and inform you as to the true beneficial owner of ForCrowd is, then you may finally understand why the Company agreed to this “lock-in” very disappointed.
Getting back to forward selling, what do you think has been going on with the recent share sales? Answers on a postcard to:
https://www.fca.org.uk/markets/market-abuse
RKB