RE: Cavendish raise their target price to 300p25 Mar 2024 09:45
Cavendish's extensive 21 page update note post-results includes some points worth noting:
- "Today’s release highlights: that the Board is considering options for the use of surplus cash including special dividends or buybacks; a strong start to H2 24 that is comfortably in line with our upgrades in January; and that management has identified multiple European countries for future expansion, with a new market potentially being announced in 2024"
- "A robust investment case – Fonix is focused upon leveraging its highly scalable, cloud-based platform to expand with existing clients and win new clients as mobile payments continue to scale. The structural strength of the platform is demonstrated by no churn from major customers in seven years, and it is diligently expanding its market-leading technology outside of the UK when led by existing clients, including becoming the market leader for interactive services in Ireland less than one year after FY23 launch. The successful execution of the strategy has driven Total Payment Value (TPV) to £268m in FY23 from £125m in FY18, adjusted EBITDA to £11.6m in FY23 from £3.3m in FY18, and underlying EFCF to £9.0m in FY23. We expect that any upside to our conservative forecasts would benefit from strong operational gearing through to EFCF, which would be returned to shareholders through the progressive dividend policy"
- "Since IPO in October 2020, Fonix has delivered a perfect record of six consecutive gross profit upgrades and seven consecutive adjusted EBITDA upgrades, as the platform’s momentum continues to build"
- "Through H1 24, management has continued to strategically focus on larger opportunities, including significant enterprise deals in the UK and international markets, and driving greater volumes of transactions with existing clients. Combined with the heterogeneity of the customer base, management are less focused on the absolute number of customers using the platform, and will move away from providing granular customer numbers in the disclosure. Instead, the disclosure will continue to confirm the customer base is over a given size, such as today’s release confirming the active customer base is over 120, following 122 active customers at FY23 results"