Very positive presentation26 May 2016 16:05
I attended a presentation from RNWH yesterday. Here's a few jottings from the meeting - and the interim presentation can be seen here:
Http://www.renewholdings.com/investors/reports-and-presentations/
- the profit split is normally 47% or 48%/52% for H1/H2. By implication, with 13.31p EPS in H1 alone RNWH is extremely well placed to meet - and possibly beat - the two forecasts of 27.5p EPS and 27.2p EPS to 30th September
- RNWH are aiming short-term to get operating margins up to 4.5% from H1's 4%. This alone would add another £2.7m to profits based on H1's annualised revenue
- the 18% dividend rise in H1 suggests an 8p dividend for the year
- RNWH have examined a number of acquisitions. These often take years to come to fruition at the right time and price. More are on the way, but timelines are impossible to predict. The CEO was asked about the problematic telecoms and gas acquisitions, and he replied with optimism about them both, noting that consolidation in telecoms and the slow pace of gas contract awards couldn't be predicted and are being overcome by adapting or stepping up the pace
- RNWH pay their supply chain one week AFTER they get paid, with obvious cash flow benefits. The largest customer pays in 28 days, with the majority on 28-40 days. The negative £4.2m working capital movement in H1 should entirely reverse in H2 to be neutral overall
- of the £3billion nuclear decommissioning programme to be spent, 90% will be at sites where RNWH work (14 of the 17 NDA sites), and 70% will be at Sellafield, where RNWH have a VERY strong position via Shepley Engineers as the largest contractor with 11 frameworks
- RNWH are the sole provider on the £30m Magnox nuclear framework at 10 sites, with potential for later decommissioning work
- 3 new nuclear opportunities are being actively developed, including Moorside, which is adjacent to Sellafield, so very favourable for RNWH
- Shepley's new appointment to the Courtyards framework at the Palace of Westminster is a biggie imo - at some point Westminster will have to be entirely overhauled, and this will cost £billions
- the average contract value for large infrastructure contracts is £300k, so very low risk of material overruns
- RNWH had no infrastructure work in Scotland 4 years ago. It displaced the incumbent, and has won £50m of work
If anything else occurs to me I'll post it later, but if any other attendees are watching I'm happy to accept corrections!