Happy to hold for large upside7 Jun 2017 12:23
I'm happy to hold for upside which should come to fruition (pun intended!) this year. Here's Beaufort Securities' view - they say Buy with a 23p target price. Note the P/E's of just 6.8 falling to 5 for this this year and next year:
"Our view:
DekelOil delivered strong results for the FY2016 with record production and over ten-fold increase in post-tax profit, despite the fall in average CPO prices and FFB yield. Looking ahead, in FY2017, the Group said market prices for both CPO and PKO has improved in the H1, therefore is on track to deliver further increases in sales. This year will also expect materially lower financing costs as the Group will see the first full year benefit of the revised debt term. Altogether, this enables the Group to commence maiden dividend in FY2017 which the management said it expect to pay a total of £500,000, implying c.0.17p per share.
For the medium-term, as the company-owned estates reaching maturity, as well as improvement in farming practices of the smallholders supported by the World Bank scheme, these are expected to result in increased volumes of feedstock. Together with this, the Group’s investment in improved extraction rate and increased CPO storage capacity (to 8,000 tonnes) will further support the future sales growth. DekelOil has also invested in back-up facilities during the year which is now in place to minimise the operational risk.
Beaufort believe DekelOil’s current share price yet to truly appreciate the potential upsides from ramp up of its CPO production from now wholly-owned Ayenouan, where c.30% of the operational capacity at the CPO extraction mill is yet utilised (maximum capacity 70,000 tonnes per annum).
Moreover, the management confirmed on 10 May 2017 that it is currently in discussion with Norpalm Ghana Limited (subsidiary of Norpalm AS) and certain Norpalm AS shareholders in relation to the potential acquisition of all or the majority of the shares in Norpalm by DekelOil to build out its operations in neighbouring Ghana. Norpalm is an owner and operator of c.4,000 hectares of mature palm plantations and operates a 30 tn/hr mill which also purchases FFB from local producers. Norpalm sells 15,000 tonnes of crude palm oil sold into the domestic Ghanaian market, and also operates a PKO press which produces c.2,000 tn of PKO in the Ghanaian market. Such discussions are still ongoing and therefore there can be no guarantee that it will proceed.....The Group will make further announcements in due course.
Overall, given the Group has strengthened balance sheet and revenue profile while set to transform itself into a list of dividend paying company with a progressive policy in place, upsides for the shareholders are increasing on this obviously undervalued investment. The Shares are currently valued at FY2017E and FY2018E P/E multiple of 6.8x and 5.0x, along with dividend yield of 1.3% for both, respectively. Beaufort retains its Buy rating on the Sh