Tipped on Master Investor tonight16 Jan 2020 18:04
by Mark Watson-Mitchell, who's targeting prior peaks of 465p over time....here's a couple of extracts:
Https://masterinvestor.co.uk/equities/tremor-international-could-send-shockwaves-through-the-advertising-world/?utm_source=Daily+Bulletin&utm_campaign=dedca0b477-Daily_Bulletin_20200116&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_25eff0bb7f-dedca0b477-34898813
"Tremor International could send shockwaves through the advertising world
By Mark Watson-Mitchell
16 January 2020
Rebekah Brooks is coming on board this global leader, which trades on a derisory earnings multiple, writes Mark Watson-Mitchell."
"The group offers its services to more than 450 major advertisers – such as Disney, OpenTable, Twitter, Amazon, Zynga and Expedia. It has more than 50,000 supply and publishing partners worldwide.
Earlier this month the group announced that it had agreed to acquire a company called Unruly for £14.5mfrom News Corp. And a big pointer is that News Corp is taking 8.5m new Tremor shares in exchange, giving it some 6.5% of the group’s shares, locked-in for at least 18 months.
Furthermore, Rebekah Brooks, News UK’s CEO, will go on to the Tremor board. Now that really is news!
Unruly is a leading global brand-safe video platform that leverages a combination of proprietary video marketplace technologies and data to deliver emotionally engaging content to consumers. It will fit in very well with the group’s RhythmOne division.
The group, after the Unruly deal, will have 132m shares in issue.
Prior to the deal the leading investors in the company’s equity included: Tosca Fund Management (23%), Schroder Investment (15.2%), Mithaq Capital (14.9%), River & Mercantile (7.3%), Ibex Investors (4.4%), Hargreaves Lansdown (4.2%), and Interactive Investor (4.0%).
The group’s brokers, finnCap, updated their numbers after the latest purchase. For the year to end-December 2019 they estimate that revenues will have increased nearly 18% to £325m, while pre-tax profits may have jumped 23% to £52.5m, giving earnings of 42.5p per share but no dividend.
For the current year the brokers are looking for an Unruly kick-in – taking revenues up a further 30% to £425m, with pre-tax profits up a healthy 32% to £69.3m, worth 45.5p in earnings, which allows for the Unruly dilution.
With the shares trading at around the 156p level, those broker estimates put them out on a ridiculously low 3.6 times historic earnings and just 3.4 times current year earnings.
These shares are going to go a great deal higher yet. And I would say that they are more than capable of hitting their 2017 previous peaks of 465p again.
Even so, I will cautiously only put out an end-2020 target price of 235p, which would be a sinfully low 5.5 times historic."