New Panmure note today - 212p target price15 Dec 2025 12:14
Panmure's new note today has a 212p price target - a very useful premium over the current share price. They forecast a large increase in EPS for the coming year to $0.17c, followed by $0.21c EPS in 2027.
Extracts:
"In November Capital announced a $38m net placing. The deal sets Capital up for the next stage of its growth and accelerates it on its pathway to double EBITDA. Proceeds are to fund investment in drilling, mining and MSALABS. As we wrote in October, end markets are supportive. To reflect the expected return on investment and the increased share count, we increase our FY 26 and FY 27 EBITDA by 5% and 6% but reduce our FY 26 and FY 27 FD EPS by 7% and 4%. Given our expectation of slightly lower future debt, and higher EBITDA, we reduce FY 27 leverage from 0.3x to 0.2x, ignoring the c. $70m of investments. Maintain BUY and our TP is held at 212p, but can be increased further as there is evidence that Capital is achieving more than its cost of capital on its additional investments. In November Capital announced a $38m net placing On 20th November, Capital announced a placing to support its growth strategy. The circular published on 24/11/25 showed that 28,581k shares were issued in two tranches, at a placing price of 107p. The placing shares are 12.69% of the enlarged share capital. This was approved by 77.95% of the existing shareholder on 11th December, which means that we can publish today. New shares were admitted today. On 26/11/25 an RNS announced that BPM, a related party of Jamie Boyton (Executive Chair), subscribed for 399k shares under the terms of the Placing. This takes his direct holding to 10.1% showing commitment to the deal, and belief in the long-term prospects of the business. Gross proceeds were $40m and net proceeds were $38m. The growth is now funded and there is capacity to grow more.
We argue for a premium rating due to 1) the significant recovery potential; 2) the concealed value in the investments business; and 3) the higher rating typically attributed to the laboratory testing business. The placing in itself is not a reason for a higher target price. However, if, as seems likely to us, Capital shows that it can deliver attractive returns on its new investments ahead of its cost of capital, then that would be a case for a higher target price. For now, we keep the TP unchanged at 212p."