RE: Does anyone think the company could go bankrupt?23 Apr 2025 10:52
It's the available cash account that is more important at this time to me. Plus the ability to generate cash and pay all liabilities. Then it's a going concern, if Wood still has the backing of their lenders.
Revenue is another matter, regardless the size of write backs. That's why cash is king in the current state of play. The size of the WIP that hasn't yet converted into cash is the risk. How big of that WIP pot is real, and what needs to be written off. Plus the unknown risk of any over spend on fixed price work, how big is that? As that's more cost with no income.
I'm currently not holding any shares. I dumped what I did own. I'm prepared to sit on the fence, and watch the days expire to 30th April. If the bid is not agreed is we approach the end of April, then I expect the sp to fall. Maybe the offer for wood is agreed before the end of April.... no one knows. However I do not want to be holding "suspended" shares, unless the sp is significantly lower.. 10p? Sure... i could miss out on a deal... don't care. Too much risk.
The other scenario of course, is the deal falls over, or is lowered. If the deal falls over, then it could be months before the shares are released from suspension. Anything can happen during that time. The entire incompetent board could walk away.
In conclusion I will look at the sp on Tues 29th April, it's either priced for suspended risk or isn't. Dont care.