RE: Development of EU battery storage - Part 131 Aug 2019 21:34
Bella, I am sure you are right. The lease deal is of critical importance to the pricing of the VRFB product. They have always been clear that there will be a leasing partner in much the same way as motor finance is backed via a bank or financial institution and of course, Bushveld Minerals will be paid for the vanadium and Bushveld Energy will earn a long term income from the lease agreement.
I am glad you buy it the point that Fortune has already said that he does not want further dilution of the business, so we can be sure that if more money is needed it will be raised through debt which will be backed by income from all aspects of the business and knowing the way the business has performed so far the debt will be cleared quickly at each stage.
It is clear that there will be much pressure on the shares in float know and over the next 12 to 18 months. I think we can expect to see a very strong rally in share price which is very hard to predict, but the value of this business will rise, the rise further and dividends of the current share price per annum will be more than possible within 3 to 5 years.
This will represent a solid long term investment which many in the future will be kicking themselves they had not bought in, or even sold out to early. This is not your usual AIM company and I would be very surprised if does not move into the main FTSE market early in 2020, if not at the time the JSE listing is finalised.
The income streams from the steel growing Nitrovan products from Vametco, the V205 sales, the Vanadium chemical sales from Vanchem and the Vanadium Electrolyte sales from Bushveld Energy in EL, will be generating a very strong profit stream and this company is likely to be one of the jewels in SA new crown listed on the FTSE in London and the JSE in SA. I expect it will become a first-tier supplier in a new huge energy storage tech market and we will see very strong valuations in future, despite its global location, which from a Vanadium perspective is critical as one of the primary vanadium resources on the planet.
The more we look at the future potential market and the development of VRFB and its market growth, and as time goes on a replacement tech for worn-out Lithium-Ion products, it could have a two-stage growth from 2020 to 2028 and a strong upside again from 2028 to 2040 in the replacement market. By then we may see a life of VRFB of 50 to 70 years possible with technology developments.
Cheers RK