The bigger picture....18 May 2019 12:11
I posted this on ADVFN (as Lageraemia over there):
At this stage, worrying about whether trades are buys or sells and bitching about Chris Oil is a waste of energy guys.
It's shit or bust in the short term. Wressle alone supports the current share price when that's in production, but a duster at West Newton-2 will see this hammered in the short term.
A big gas find confirmed should see 0.25p in the short term. Add in some deeper oil and BOOM.
You literally pays your money and takes your chance.
I'm uber confident about the current well and the return to side track at Biscapthorpe.
I've never met Chris oil personally, but have interacted with him on the BBs for about 10 years. Sometimes he's nice, some times he can be petulant and ingracious (as can I)......but his intentions in the medium to long term are much more important than whether he de-risks and sells down a little before the RNS.
If he carries 5% or more into the RNS, then the free float will be significantly lower and the spike will be of greater amplitude - that's an opportunity for YOU to trade if you want to.
A big spike would leave the bloke with a HELL of a CGT bill if he sells out in one go, so I suspect he'll be a significant holder going forward........and why not? UJO will be the gift that keeps on giving with a successful gas and oil export from West Newton, Wressle and discovery at Biscathorpe. The icing on the cake would be a successful Weald development as they have a shareholding in UKOG.
However, Dave B and board need to really RAMP up the pR campaign for the UK onshore industry. It needs to be sold HARD as:
1) It is the LEAST BAD hydrocarbon option for the UK as the carbon footprint (being onshore and so close to refineries and processing facilities) is the lowest available. If you don't believe me, the Google the 'chandigarh coal fields' in India and see what effect that has compared with the WHOLE of the UK.
2) It also have MUCH lower geopolitical risk than importing HCs from Russia/Middle East.
3) It lowers the UK balance of payments deficit and PAYS A LOT OF TAX. If we proceed with the economic equivalent of an episode of Jackass that is Brexit, we'll need this and the Sirius Potash mine at Whitby to be going all guns blazing.