RE: Chewing it over21 Mar 2019 14:54
Crowbar
Agreed. SEE says it can't be sure of next years numbers and then states it won't be in profit until 2023 with the caveat that basically things will stay the same. SEE is correct it doesn't know what revenue will be next financial year and therefore have decided to play safe (and in the process tanked the SP, screwing PI's in the process) and gone and got as much as it possibly can.
There are a number of areas where SEE might receive more income (of which I'm sure it's aware of) which could change the picture substantially -
1. Auto - at present we've been told we could be involved in up to 13 RFQ's of which, say SEE win 10. Assuming say 7 start in the financial year and engineering milestones are met, using FCA as an example, we get $1.5 million x 7 = $10.5 million
2. Aviation - Only just started contributing but rumours of CAE so maybe another $1.5 million
3. BdMS - the forgotten man, in pilots with 3/4 of the larger AVs, after Uber, Tesla there's a pretty good chance they'll need it so 500 x $5,000 (I think it should be more) so minimally $2.5 million
4. Fleet - taking no chances, stick
5. Off-road /Rail - outperformed first half but stick
6. Medical - Nucoria (20%) who? Either forget or sell and use money to fund office tea and coffee for a month or two.
I'm not saying the above is anywhere near correct but surely the management could have been a bit more creative and borrowed some instead of going for so much.