RE: 17p bid20 Mar 2019 16:41
There's an omission in Safestocks blog which makes it difficult to really take any discussion seriously ie the article says last year, a full 12 months, which would make a big difference as to the seriousness of the discussions.
At the start of the year, we had 2 OEM's, the ground breaking Cadillac deal and Mercedes, SP around 5p and not much of an order book (but with expectations of more).
In April/May, came BMW and possible legislation, price going upwards from 7p.
Until June /July Ford and Byton, price in the 10-12p range mainly.
Until Black September and TFD with the SP collapsing all the way to 3.46p at the end of the year but with A$138 million in the pipeline.
So, even though there were problems at the end of the year, I don't see how the discussions could have happened at any other time than the start of the year. The more contracts signed, the less the SP relies on hope, ie execution risk.
So, really, I think comparing SEE now with SEE over a year ago isn't very useful.
Even now, without the 13 potential RFQ's, on a Mobileye chip metric, would yield 23.67p per share for auto alone.