A (vaguely) positive view11 Aug 2017 18:47
Understandably significant negativity around recent events at Redx and, as an LTH, I empathise. However, having digested the recent Administrator's RNS, relevant articles and the posts on this board, great summary Boom, I am feeling more positive!
Today our stake in Redx is worthless so a re-listing, which appears to be the Administrators goal, has some value to us. Probably limited but something is better than nothing. Not worth speculating what the sp might be at that point as still many twists and turns.
RX005 has been described as the 'crown jewel'. IMO it is just one of a number of jewels. Further, to realise $40m for a programme that still hasn't got CTA is excellent. It hasn't started trials and is therefore years off approval with the need for significant funding downstream. What are the chances of it being successful? At this stage IMO very, very limited.
Assuming the RX005 sale to LOXO is closed then current debts are cleared and cash is left in the bank (can't work out what that number is) to invest in other programmes. Undoubtedly further fund raising will be required but that is the nature of this sector.
IMO Redx had too many programmes for a small operation with funding issues. We are left in a situation, therefore, where they can now focus on a smaller portfolio which I believe will result in improved focus and chances of success.
Final point, we will never know the full detail of what has gone on so pointless speculating but the CFO has come in for much stick. Poor guy is only an interim so unlikely to have experienced anything like this. Tough place to be at the moment!
Still a long way from success or seeing the sp in a place where a profit might be achievable.....dream on......but today I'm feeling more positive about the future for Redx.