RE: Enormous UT1 Sep 2022 13:43
If you take the penultimate sentence at face value, it implies what SM just said that BHP/NCM declined to participate in a pre-emptive placing and then vetoed a non pre-emptive cashbox raise. However, if that were the case it raises some another question, namely are there enough other investors willing to invest the amounts that Solg needed, or are Solg actually dependent on BHP/NCM to contribute their 26% of any funding round in order to secure enough funds?
If they did try a pre-emptive placing, provided they offered the opportunity to BHP/NCM to invest, there's no reason other investors can't step in and take up those allocations if BHP/NCM don't want them. And if BHP/NCM had just outright declined to invest and Solg then tried to get a cash-box placing done, it suggests that there were enough commitments from other investors to raise the amount that Solg wanted... but it was vetoed by existing holders.
Which is to say, BHP/NCM can't have it both ways. They can't insist on an equity raise that includes them and refuse to participate, and then block an equity raise that doesn't include them.
So I wonder if the writer of the article has slightly misreported the events, and the penultimate sentence should read something like "BHP and Newcrest were apparently unwilling to invest again, BECAUSE a second raising that would circumvent pre-emption rights was ultimately seen by shareholders as not appropriate".
Also, in my view Solg didn't "test the market" as some sort of fact finding exercise. They "tested the market" with a view to raising funds via whatever method they "tested". Therefore there is no material distinction between 1) Solg asked investors if they would support a cashbox placing that they intended to launch, were told no and therefore didn't proceed with the placing and 2) Sold launched a cashbox placing (irrespective of whether shareholders supported it or not) and then failed to secure sufficient commitments in order to close the placing. The outcome is the same in both scenarios - Solg need funds, wanted to raise funds, and have not raised any funds.
And anyway, even if this was not a failed fund raise but a mere "discussion" with Shareholders, a "discussion" that results in the resignation of your funding executive and your new CFO at the same time is not a success, it's probably worse than just launching a placing that is undersubscribed due to poor market sentiment.