ASA11 Aug 2016 12:23
Positive results today and I for one am pleased with the way in which the RNS was written and the level of detail given to investors. What is highlighted in this report is the idea that results should get much stronger in the following quarters. Going from todays notes we can deduce the following.
GOLD- New annual targets of 70,000oz which equals 17,500 oz per quarter. ASA also plans to get gold costs as low as $950oz. With current gold price being $1350-400 we will take lower end value of $1350. That means ASA are in line to make $400 per oz of gold. $400 x the 17,500 oz they plan to produce equates to $7million. So over a year that would mean ASA will make 4x7mil= $28mil just from GOLD per year. Thats INSANE given the mcap.
NICKEL- C3 costs targeted at between $5000/6000 per ton (call it $5500/t). "BNC produces nickel in concentrate and realises approximately 65% of the market price". With the average price at the moment been around $10,500/t we should realise a price of $6825 (65% of 10,500). On this basis ASA make $6825-$5500=$1325/t. Tonnes sold in the quarter just gone were 1493 so going by those figures ASA would make 1493 tons sold x $1325 profit per ton = $2mil so over 1 year that would mean ASA make $2milx4quarters= $8mil
Even though NICKEL profits aren't as high as first suspected the profits from it would be enough to support the current SP. With GOLD and NICKEL combined (not to mention diamonds) ASA stand to make $36mil profits per year which converted in to pounds comes to just shy of £28mil.
One can work out the value of a company like ASA by mining profits per year by around 7 to come to a fair value for the company meaning fair value for ASA is arguably $196mil. Quits astounding considering the current market cap is a measly £14mil. ASA wil be making double that in 1 year.