Monoco6527 Sep 2013 13:05
I offer a posible explanation , others may have their own idea's . Most companies which are established trade at a premium to the net asset value (NAV) , this is because of something called amortisiation , where the percived value of the company is a total of its assets , a money value attached to the brand and again a money amount attached to the goodwill of the people who will use this company in the future ( future earnings ) . However , this is often trumped by what the individual market worth of a company is worth at any given time . Something is only worth as much as someone will pay for it . If Fortune Oil was not in the hands of the concert group ( more than 50 per cent of shares owned . ) then I believe the share price would go up immediately as someone would asset strip it as its cash position which alone is attractive . I also believe this puts people off buying shares and as such the price is depressed . To this extent the future looks gloomy . However most arguments have balance , and some of the plus points are , that in my mind , FTO is well managed and will continue to grow , and as such , the dividend will grow . When this happens , the people who buy shares for income , not growth , will hopefully look on FTO favorably . If the position changes then this share has a lot of upside , but still as long haul ahead . Lastly and I dont want to assume what other people may be thinking , but it is possible that after the last meeting , that we may see a purchasing of more shares , as an interested party may wish to own a larger share of FTO than he currently has . This would reduce the free float in effect and as such lead to greater demand and a price rise ( modest in my opinion ) Only conjecture , comments and suggestions welcome .