RE: Who dunnit1 Oct 2022 12:36
Russia benefits from this, by causing confusion and having the West looking at each other. It also gives Russia advantage if Europe has power shortages. If Russia can do it, the communication cables will be next. Nato aircraft and ships trying to protect those cables now. Russia can now cut off the gas via Ukraine and then Europe really could face a bleak winter. NATO was searching for submarines from Kalingrad on Baltic coast the days before the explosions, i shared this on my facebook page. Putin needs the West to back off and let him keep what he has taken. Then later he will return again for another bite and so rinse and repeat. Eventually taking Ukraine then next on rebuilding CCCR . Nato moved B52s towards Norway from Fairford so in strike distance of Moscow. However, no worrying movements of Nuclear missiles, but possibly small nuclear stuff moved towards Ukraine (Tactical Nuclear Weapons). If FRR can get agreement with Georgia then if that gas is there and extractable, it could be a very exciting takeover by a major for supplying gas into Europe. There are not enough LNG ships to meet the demand of Europe, you can not just build these and the facilities to on and off load them in a few months. Russia can benefit further thou as as supply and demand widen, so does the price. So they can cause hardship by cost and power cuts, insecurity and possible negotiations, attempt to split Europe and get paid more for each cubic meter of Gas. Russia currently thinks it holds a lot of cards, but are they all jokers?