Empty box28 Jul 2019 17:08
I still stand by comments that you do not fight over an empty box.
Hope/ OMF have twice attempted a takeover
Then where gas as other hydrocarbons were classed as low in Georgia, we now have other companies finding the liquid gold and apparently thriving. So it would seem SN was always right about Georgia being hydrocarbon rich.
Now did block 12 sit in a fairly dry area and we were just in wrong place? Its possible but lets look at some facts. We have found oil and in some cases it has flowed steadily for years. Okay it was a low rate for a company spending so much, but oil was flowing in a sustained way.
We also saw technology advance and this was always thought to be the key to unlocking the treasure.
Then the gas, i think we can agree the gas is there but technical issues stopped us from releasing it for production. I think this was a huge point for FRR. It proved the gas and analysis will help prove viable for others to farm in, but it was a disappointment that this was not going to turn us around quickly.
What we do not know, is did Zaza and SN rely on this being a success, was there a viable plan B if this proved concept but failed to flow. The warning signs were there as it was a rework of a old well that was known to have casing issues. Was this an all in move, high risk high reward or was it carefully considered and the "failure " operationally and financially considered?
I say failure but Zaza was very clear that what it told them was hugely signifiant.
Was that loan really on offer? if so then some data would have to have been shown that would limit the risk of that loan to the company. Confirm that loan and it suddenly looks good.
BHGE are they still in the field and operating? Find that out and again it tells us something.
Then the big one BP being interested in a NDA, If only we knew if that was ongoing or dead in the water?
The courts can take months or even years to conclude, so thats not the quick answer, but fact FRR are still being sought by OMF via the courts tells me two things. Firstly FRR are still a company - lights are still on
Secondly that the lawyers think they will get paid by FRR, if they went into liquidation that would suggest a huge risk to anyone getting paid and almost certainly not in full. There would be a pegging order and lawyers maybe just above us. We would be unlikely to see anything.
We have the tax rebate from Georgian Govt due, so if someone assists us that could come into play.
I have always learnt that bad news flows much quicker than good news so if this completely dies, we would find out fairly quickly.
People not paid throughout 2019 and no production, possible, but unlikely. Frr would be pretty much dead in the water if no production was ongoing throughout 2019 and money running out. Did we here that financial obligations last month were missed?
YA have been quiet so either a deal done or they have been paid, we would know i suspect by now if defaulted.
Right now its