RE: Hexam25 Sep 2022 21:39
Wolf, you are looking at big famous companies that went through chapter 11 bankruptcies, you need to also look at the small mktcap companies. Your looking at huge companies like Enron, Lehman Brothers, MF Global and Refco which have all ceased operations while others were acquired by other buyers or emerged as a new company with a similar name. Cine situation is completely different to these.
My argument regarding a newco is, as I’ve explained umpteen times, the maths don’t add up. I don’t want to start a huge discussion as I’m multitasking so I’ll just reiterate a couple of points, out of loads I’ve mentioned.
If they debtors swap their huge debt to take over cine, they are swapping their debt for a company that is worth less then a billion as it stands (they are burning up money), a company that is losing money isn’t worth what it was in 2019, so debtors are losing huge amounts of money.
Another point, let’s say the do swap their huge debt for newco, do you think they are not aware that next year or years might be just as bad as this year, in business anything can happen, you have to look at all possibilities, they will be owners of a company that is worth nothing. Newco shares can tank just as quickly. Do you think they are that stupid?
The best scenario to unfold here is exchange a tiny bit of debt for equity, lend them some more money and let the show continue, there is nobody better to pull cine out of this mess than the G brothers.
In my opinion, sorry if my explanation isn’t that clear as I’m doing umpteen things at once.