RE: 41.50p buy area?2 Nov 2021 11:25
Posted by Adam this morning. Great analysis. Ignore the groups of uneducated tramps on here and listen to the person that understands what is going on.
Just to get in with some initial thoughts; I’ve just asked and believe Suzy will be doing an interview outlining the deal in more detail. This will be the start of more to come. It’s a solid proposition and a most welcome RNS for me.
These types of deal are becoming the norm, particularly in the US. It looks like VAL are now positioning themselves between academia and US corporate finance – nice.
Privately-backed finance development companies, who are awash with cash, are taking or funding candidates through Phase 2-3. Some float NASDAQ; some stay private. They have an excellent track record of pushing things through quickly and realising gains. They also won’t park this, like we’ve seen with other peer company tie-ups, which seem to take years (if at all) to realise.
I work with a number of them, so feel well-equipped to give my view on this, and I’m going to give it.
They will have scientists in this outfit, who I suspect will be working on the formulation and indications, to refresh the patent, and maximise any potential payments.
There is a massive upside here. It appears that Suzy has broken into US corporate finance. For VAL, that's probably a bigger ask than a pharma company, and they are so hard-nosed and purely finance-driven, they are almost better placed to do the heavy lifting.
This abodes EXTREMELY WELL for the new candidates, and I’d expect at least these sort of figures now for newer candidates at preclinical stage, without the “baggage” that we know has been associated with 201. I think we’ll now get more. Suzy and the team have finally proved that they can take something on, and sell it. Imagine what they are going to do with a shiny new product with 20 full years on the patent.
The initial payment is enough not to raise, and I’m fag-packeting that this will now be enough to sustain overheads. That’s what we needed, and I think we’re home and dry now with that one now. We can finally put it to bed.
Now – and this is where the material is to be digested:
It is a fee-per INDICATION. This product has not been passed over as purely a one-hit prostate drug. It has been out-licensed for ONCOLOGY.
This is unusual, in that I cannot tell you what any potential payments could be, in total.
Prostate cancer has a number of individual indications in and of itself. Some drugs are licensed for three indications in prostate cancer alone.