RE: Spread2 Jul 2018 12:39
It's not SOLO's lack of rise that's baffling, it's UKOG's rise. Tripling the SP and adding £80M market cap in anticipation of flow testing a well that has already been flow tested is absurd. Yes, they are hoping to prove up commerciality and recoverable size, but BB-1 was a failure and yet the current market cap of UKOG is far higher now than it was at the height of HH fever in either 2015 or 2016 given the massive dilution since then. Not only do we already know the flow rates for HH-1, this test will be over a much longer period of time and so is bound to lead to lower figures. The rise in UKOG appears to be more a function of UKOG's own brand of sentiment driving pixie dust than anything fundamental, something which SOLO sadly lacks. Fundamentals suggest short UKOG, long SOLO, but the market is a strange place. GLA