RE: Permit10 Sep 2022 11:02
In 17 days we could get an RNS after the 27th September AGM confirming that the 299acre permit has been awarded, that the 77SHM rig has been delivered/assembled/commenced mining, that we have near 50KT coal stockpiled, that we have new Komatsu equipment onsite and own all the yellow iron plant including the big Cat dozers rather than contracting it (exception being the 2 Mega HWM which may well be purchased from Mega at a later date rather than leased), market metcoal prices are >$350pT, that more trains have been booked at 20 day average of that in addition to the 2 per month that were hedged at around $275pT, that the #20HWM remediation works have been contracted, that washplant is being maintained near 70% efficiency, that the longwall rig is increasing output from current 10KT HiVolA and something about the resource drilling. Only speculation, but any one of those will be another achievement/progress point.
The current sp does not reflect that BEN is outputting 40KT combined HVB+ from both rigs (surface & underground) and all mining plant equipment (excluding 2xHWM) is owned by BEN rather than contracted and that metcoal market price has started rising again. Not even quite 11 months old yet so delays in the first 6 months were inevitable for a new mining company. I realise that now in hindsight and understand why £1 in April was 'a bit toppy'. In another 6 months I probably still won't understand why we were stuck in the 30s for so long. JS? Ukraine? Market price drop? Initial trading losses? Less trains than expected and so less revenue? Stockpiling till the price goes up? Short term traders not looking at the bigger picture (ie how well Ben will be doing in 6 months from now).
We are set to double output with added value of capital assets. The basic logic of math should be that the sp doubles but really it should do what it did in March when we only had 1 rig and trucking smaller quantities out with a sp of £1.04!!
Am not even going to speculate on what the sp could be if the #20HWM rig gets remediation repairs and jumps onto the Glen Alum site to treble current output levels in Q1 2023 but suffice to say it will expedite the award of 10p dividends (28% of current sp). Happy Easter!