Ocelot (again)9 Aug 2022 00:03
Thought I would re- post this post from 10:39 on Saturday, it might have been overlooked because ocelot's BFF filled the board with dozens of posts over the weekend, and them got them deleted - it relates to UKOG and to another poster on the board who won't acknowledge there are downsides to UKOG's projects:
'in my view, (is) perhaps one of the UK onshore's most valuable undeveloped assets'
You have to realise that it's an opinion, not a fact - in the view of someone who's view has been decidedly dodgy previously.
If it were a fact UKOG, never knowingly pessimistic, would not have put a Probability of Success of 60 to 70%.
'If UKOG can persuade the SoS of the encouraging prospects of its Loxley project'
What persuasion - I think you presume too much that the SoS did anything but accept what UKOG told 'him', and it was a legal decision that the planning application should not have been rejected. It's a very different proposition to persuading experts in another company who will be expected to pay at least their share of the appraisal well.
Overlooked by the market? You know this? Perhaps they realise that every UKOG project has been preceeded by over optimistic projections, that any sales gas will be many years away and gas prices, like oil, can rise and fall.
Presumably despite the results over the past few years vs what UKOG / SS has said ocelot still believes every word.
Luckily Ian has presumably some information about something - but like so many posters who are desperate for good news doesn't want the rest of us to know what this good news is going to be so that anything that might happen he can claim prescience - or is it just a hope?