RE: Upside12 Mar 2021 07:01
Sandy - thanks for trying to map out a valuation. Whether your methodology is correct or not, I agree that Tiger's criticism without offering an alternative POV adds nothing.
However, the challenge I would offer is to your 20% discount to the suggested valuation. VAST stated valuation of the JORC cannot be used as a straight line tool imo, as the confidence in that figure necessarily has to be low, as the resource is only indicated and inferred - the current JORC itself is only based on 20 holes of, iirc, about 50m in length ( 48 mm core diameter ).
If all miners were valued based on 80% of their indicated and inferred resources, the valuations of some AIM resource companies would explode ( and yes, obviously I'm aware that jurisdiction, infrastructure and commodity pricing would influence that). However, I'm also aware that I dont know enough about the sector to suggest with any confidence what a more appropriate % discount figure would be - further expansion drilling to increase scope or infill drilling to increase confidence would surely be a logical step
I'm surprised and disappointed that VAST havent as yet given any detail wrt what the ongoing drilling plan is for 2021 (never mind 2022+). That would be one step that could support a forward looking valuation