RE: Sp 25 +p27 Aug 2019 18:08
Drax you ask what might cause a rise, and you have acknowledged already that shorts closing can drive that. Of course a V price ruse would most likely push the sp up. However I would like to focus on the Vanchem acquisition and revisit the sequence of RNSs prior to the initial Vametco acquisition.
Nobody can say with any degree of precision exactly how an AIM share will react to a major strategic move in the development of a company that increases significantly sales, revenue and profit.
However here is an interesting timeline of the month before the original purchase of 26% of Vametco. It might give an indicator of things to come with the Vanchem acquisition, despite what the naysayers want you to believe!
Sp before 3.81p
17 March 2017. BMN announces good progress in fulfilling terms of agreement and financing.
Sp 4.29p
Sp before 4.29p
20 March 2017. BMN announces sales and marketing agreement with Wogen.
Sp 5.08p
Sp before 7.57p
30 March 2017. BMN announces financing agreement complete.
Sp 7.54p
Sp before 8.00p
06 April 2017. BMN announces that Bushveld Vametco acquisition of Evraz 78.8 % holding in Strategic Minerals Corporation complete. Bushveld Vametco is 45% BMN 55% Yellow Dragon. Gives BMN around 26% of Vametco. Profits not attributable to BMN.
Sp 8.17p
So in the month leading up to completion of the acquisition the sp went from 3.81p to 8.17p. That's an increase of 114%. This was driven by announcements of fulfilling terms, marketing agreement, finances in place and final acquisition.
It is my hope that BMN run a similar sequence of RNSs leading to Vanchem acquisition, with hopefully a similar response from the market. It would be a brave person or a fool that tried to pretend there would be no market reaction to this excellent acquisition.
Just my opinion, but September / October might be a very positive period for BMN shareholders. And that is why people invest in the high risk AIM market. It is the potential for very large rewards.