Positive numbers from BMN11 Oct 2021 22:52
So what is really going on at BMN?
Well it appears that Fortune Mojapelo refocused attention on Vametco and Vanchem, in part due to the VRFB industry taking off a little more slowly than expected (reasons beyond their control include Covid and delays with SA Govt.)
This was necessary to improve efficiency and raise production at the two processing plants. After all this is currently the revenue generating part of the business.
What has been achieved?
Since the maintenance shutdown in Q1 ( which accompanied disappointing production numbers) the monthly target of 240 mtV has been exceeded in every month published since.
May 278 mtV
June 261 mtV
July 251 mtV
August 260 mtV
This demonstrates the success of the programme to stabilise production at Vametco. In fact those four months combined have exceeded the target production figure by 9%. Wake up market!
Vanchem is sustaining its production at between 90 mtV and 100 mtV.
BOTH plants have stable production. Excellent news.
Costs were very high at Vametco in Q1. Thanks to stable production fixed costs per unit are falling and the company stated in the Interims that costs for the remainder of the year are expected to be in line with the projection of $23.70 to $24.20 kgV, a big improvement.
$18 million from the PFA has been rerouted to the Vanchem Kiln 3 refurbishment to be completed in 2022. Consequently the group production guidance for 2021 of 3400 to 3600 mtV is increased to 5000 to 5400 mtV by end of 2022.
The addition of Kiln 3 will more than double Vanchem production to about 2600 mtV and they expect unit cost of production to fall to similar level of Vametco.
Electrolyte plant will be producing in 2022 offering another revenue stream.
That is why I am positive about this company. And that doesn’t include any new VRFB developments.
This morning Asian Metal site indicated rising V prices in China. Whilst not yet a trend it is what most analysts expect to happen in 2021 / 2022.
So we have stabilised and increasing production, falling costs and likely rising V prices over the next year or so. You sit staring at the daily share price if you like. I prefer to look beyond the horizon and study the future path of the company. And it is once again starting to look exciting in my opinion.