OK here goes!17 Apr 2019 17:36
I left the meeting considerably more optimistic than I arrived, but i think is the nature of the beast...firstly the 'bad' news if this is such -
Little or no chance of being FCF +ve this FY... but should turn a profit in 2020...Spire has not been lost, purely a function of Trump's tariffs and where their manufacturing capability for that product lies (in china)...so trade treaty = immediate relief...
I hadn't realised - call me stooopid - that TDK was signed rather than taken to court for infringement of patent...a few more like that I think to come...the patent defense case has cost c A$70k so far...expected returns in the multiples from Ioxus case...
Auto deals - yes defo coming - 4 uses - windscreen, key fob, car door and dashboard...talk of 10mm units in 5yrs + time, so a big long term deal...
Increased Roche deal coming for insulin injecting / diabetes support...been 10yrs for Roche to get where they wanted and specific request to CPX to keep manufacturing for them...
3VX rollout still as expected...
Monies raised in october have been spent retooling manufacturing capability in Malaysia to meet demand...
Marco Ranalli appointment good news...already talking with Volvo...he's on a v low base salary (I mean low) and will be paid in shares / options n cash on performance...looks good, makes sense.
AUD$25mm of 'orders' received...inquries high, still believe they are best in class for what they do...
So no horrors - definitely behind where they wanted to be re timing but some due to delays absolutely beyond their control. No expectation of any further cash call, equally in no position to buy any stock here. I irritatingly did not ask why the board wasn't loading up here...
My view on shares...well the 3.85p chart call was much more right than my investing skills. i will buy more, i think I have to and I think other similar sized holders will do as well...I still maintain this is a long-term trade and your target should not be just to get back to break even (which seems a distance away).
happy to try answer any other qs...