Improbable … or not !?4 Mar 2025 17:04
What’s required here , is a willingness to consider the improbable as possible. The fact that it is uncommon to do so increases the rewards for those who do.
The vast majority of people look at the world from the perspective of what is most probable, and assume that events will unfold in that manner.
So, consider the possibility and the probability that the improbable occurs. This can be done to avoid risk and to find opportunities. On avoiding risk, taking small chances could have catastrophic outcomes.
This perspective also makes you more open to non-mainstream, non-consensus views on events, products, companies and achievements.
When someone raises the possibility of an improbable explanation for a specific event , situation or outcome, people assume that it’s impossible and / or unlikely to happen.
Remember that many quickly dismissed and scorned theories or ideas have turned out to be proven. Often the detractors or trolls are simply attempting to discredit or cancel someone who is getting uncomfortably close to the truth of / or proving a thesis or outcome.
QBT’ers - Keep an open mind to unexpected and improbable outcomes. It’ll make us all a better investors , with greater insight into the world.
A willingness to consider the improbable increases, the greater the reward that comes from the low probability outcome being true. The rewards here could be excellent.
So Further investigation into the improbable is always warranted, particularly if the rewards are high enough.
So , consider and analyse the improbable. This used to be called having an open mind, until that became increasingly uncommon.
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