From Malcy's blog:27 Mar 2023 17:15
"Whilst this is a short term hassle for the companies, the nature of Iraqi politics indicates it was always possible and it will even have a mildly positive effect on global oil prices. The parties are confident that the outage will be temporary as talks have been underway between the KRG and Baghdad, I suspect that it is not in the interests of any of the parties for this to continue.
As to the effect on the companies involved, again I feel that for shareholders it shouldnt be something they will notice. I know that in terms of its own policy, Genel are, whilst not being complacent, happy that their policy is watertight in these sort of circumstances. Their model is to ‘build bumps into the road’ to ensure that they get no shocks or surprises, on things such as production or payment gaps, the company have said that as such the dividend payment due in May is sacrosanct and will be paid in these circumstances. As such investors should use today’s weakness to top up holdings.
As for GKP I can’t be so specific as the company have yet to get back to me, if they do I will make a comment in tomorrow’s blog."
I hope he's right!