(part 2)11 Jan 2018 16:29
The proceeds of the open offer, which has just been approved at the general meeting on January 8, will be used to repay �4.06 million of the loan notes � leaving just $500,000 or so outstanding by my calculations, depending on how interest has been paid (the loan was at an annual rate of 25%). It will also leave the company with �250,000 of working capital, but I doubt that will put it in that strong a financial position, as it spent �230,000 on the loan notes � 3% plus �100,000 � and typical admin expenses are in the region of �70,000 per month. At the last accounts up to the end of June it had �1.1 million in the bank, but I would now estimate that to be around �600,000 or so (allowing for the deduction of the interest payments on the loan notes).
Allowing for the fact that it will need to pay back a minimum of a further �370,000 to clear the loan notes at the end of June, plus at least �46,000 in interest during that period, that only currently leaves it with enough cash to meet its admin and general running costs up until the end of March before it needs to consider raising more money again � either that or it leaves it until June, which it has enough in the bank to do, and then raises enough to clear the remaining loan notes as well as raising working capital for the foreseeable future after that.
There is obviously value in this project otherwise Odey wouldn�t be continuing to support it financially, and to be holding such a large chunk of stock. But it will be interesting to see whether there are further increase to its position, via TR1 notifications, after January 12 when the open offer shares are expected to be admitted to trading. I would expect that any open offer shares that weren�t taken up by other holders will have been snapped up by Odey, assuming it was given the chance to do so.
Given that the Oman project does look attractive � gold is showing signs of strength and antimony performed well towards the back end of 2017 and was as high as it has been since the end of 2014 � and that the market cap of Tri-Star is just �6.9 million odd, I will be very interested to see what the intentions of Odey are here. When the deal was done earlier this year to restructure the balance sheet in return for giving Odey a big stake, that came along with a waiver which meant that it didn�t have to make a compulsory takeover bid, despite holding well in excess of 30% of the shares (54.27% at the time).But with the Oman project now close to completion, I would be very interested to know if the view of Odey has changed and whether it might now be interested in looking to take the company private. Based on the project alone, I think that the shares here do look quite cheap at the current price of 0.04p on the ask � even just in light of the open offer implying a value of 0.045p � and I would expe