RE: Pro’s and con’s………8 Sep 2024 21:16
IHNC,
My view of Mcap at values I previously stated:
The chance that we are confirming a ‘Discovery’ at Ingomar is very high and the potential return higher.
Ingomar Dome project – (Clink#1) $605.6 million Net
· NPV8 of $303.1 million using a helium price of $550/Mcf and grade of 1.50%
· Initial CAPEX requirement of only $19.7 million
· Net revenue of $605.6 million (after CAPEX, OPEX, tax and royalty) over 29-year LOM
Contingent Resources: P50 resource estimate of 2.3 billion cubic feet of helium, with potential upside exceeding 6 billion cubic feet.
"The Ingomar Dome Project demonstrates potentially high returns and low capital requirements. Rapid payback and free cash-flow estimates of over $40 million dollars a year release a range of finance possibilities to provide initial CAPEX requirement."
>1) Significant Helium shows through mud (which at %’s of %’s) confirmed. Helium down hole -De-risked.
>2) Wireline % He concentration & testing zones - TBC
>3) EWT to prove up estimate – TBC *Noting that The Hilliston #1 200m to the East of Clink#1 well tested a 195ft column of non-flammable gas from the Amsden Formation at HIGH FLOW RATE and minimal pressure loss over 30 days – Therefore EWT can be slightly de-risked.
Rudyard Project -
· Acquisition of a discovery with previously identified helium: Domal anticline with helium gas up to 1.3% Helium ("He") flowed to surface from two wells drilled adjacent to the Rudyard Project
· Contingent Resources1: of 484,000Mcf (0.48Bcf) He gross with in-situ value of >$250 million at helium price of $550/Mcf
>EWT to prove up estimate.
Risk Reward is here… Mid 30s pre-wireline, Mid 50’s Pre-EWT, 80’s+ Discovery.
My targets are 'middle of the road' and more often than not, have gone above*.
*Just as in HE1 (See posting history for confirmation), however one of the biggest differences here, is that HEX have promised to treat share holders with respect, as opposed to the never ending bank of dad.