RE: Thoughts on a Stock Market crash?21 Jul 2020 22:37
Is the US market really that overvalued?
Possibly, but if you look around the world most it's not just the US that's back to near where it was before the pandemic. In fact the FTSE is an odd one being still about 20% down. I expect a fair part of that is still Brexit sitting on top of us. What the FTSE does not have is major tech companies. Basically there are two economies now the online world of amazon, msoft, facebook, zoom and indeed boohoo and the offline world hsbc, rolls royce, m&s and Aviva.
If you look into the the US market, outside the main tech guys it is still very low (Delta, Carnival, WeWork for eg). This pandemic has caused a massively damaged the offline world and most companies that do business in it but has actually been a blessing for online companies hence they are the shares that have been pushing up in value.
Boohoo is in a good position because of this and the share price should have a lot of upside and when we do come out of the recession they will have a lot of new customers who have moved from bricks and mortar stores.
Long story short there could be another stock market crash but not to retest previous lows and if it stock market does drop 10% or so it will again be the offline stocks that take the brunt of it.