RE: Like a bunch of kids28 Nov 2018 12:28
So back to your point, evidence of why I believe these derampers are incorrect. I refer back to the slides issued by the company and available on their website.
If the company have landed 197 units sold (from RedT sales slide) using a 10% margin on sales (we do not know what this margin is) This will amount to around EUR780,000 profit. The revenue on services sold on those units will be between 4% and 7% repeated revenue so between EUR315,000 and EUR551,000. Not enough to be profitable yet, but that was before this years sales have been secured. The services revenue on just the first phase of the German deal of 4%, then the EUR37m will result in EUR1.5m revenue annually, just on this one order. This makes perfect business sense to me as a stand-alone sum worth chasing, especially if you then add on phase 2.
You see how little revenue Red have to make on the actual sales.
The company will make margin on Gen 3 sales, obviously on the German deal these will be scaled back. IF the german deal is secured! Scott has specifically mentioned Mega Deals (plural) but in the absence of news I suspect these may have fallen through. IF the german deal falls through another fundraise will be needed next year, and so it continues.