Is ARB a good investment or just a trade?10 Dec 2020 13:32
I am trying to understand better the case for investing in BTC (ARB as a proxy). If one assumes that BTC is a store of value against FIAT currency in the long run. Then why are people like Paul Tudor Jones, Stan Druckenmiller, Raoul Pal, Michael Sailor to name a few buying BTC when Chartists say BTC is prone to large falls, 30,40 even 70% in value. Doesn’t seem to me a good store of value let alone a stable currency if that’s correct. Ok if you’re holding say currency in Zimbabwe or Venezuela those kind of drops or volatility are probably acceptable.
But surely holding say $500M in BTC (i.e. Mircostrategy) and seeing a 70% loss isn’t very astute investment planning, unless you’ve got some serious write downs to offset. Maybe they think that past volatility is just that. As BTC gets more adoption it will become less volatile and more stable for actually serving as a alternative currency and a store of value.
Any views on does BTC have to follow previous form. Personally don’t think so, but there seems, at least on YouTube a lot of chartist predicting/suggesting largish drops based on historical analogy.
I’m essentially holding ARB, as trading in and out isn’t something that suits my style. Be interested to hear what others think.