RE: FY 2022 Results13 Dec 2022 17:34
A quick look at comparators over at SLP will show you what an own goal reducing the Divi has been, although the weak bond issue does indeed explain the boards reticence.
Both are fantastically managed companies, with coincidentally, very similar amounts of shares in issue (excluding any allowance for the Karo raise), THS has historically had an SP of between 20 & 40% higher than SLP due to its much higher revenue, profit and its much improved outlook compared to SLP which is indeed a mature business with little to get excited about regarding future growth.
Now investment in Zim is always "speculative" and Karo could possibly end up as a hideous own goal given it's as yet unknown political future. However, SLP's SP is now a few pence higher than THS's (the SP's have quite frequently got close to convergence, but rarely have they met or crossed over).
SLP maintaining its Divi v THS reducing it's own can be the only reason for this. Income hunters have switched for the extra couple of % points.
I have held both for some years, switching weights given which I feel has the better upside. Today however I have sold my remaining SLP and reinvested the balance into Tharisa.
I do get a little concerned about Karo & I am sure there are many challenges to be met or and hopefully overcome, over the next couple of years. However, if all goes to plan and revenue, profit & divis increase as they should then I can see a yield of around 15% on today's £1 share price by 2025.
I'd be quite happy with that.
Obviously Chinese demand is key for our basket price, but that will come, in the meantime I'm quite happy with a yield of over 5%.