Chile elections16 Nov 2025 20:42
Voting closes in a few minutes... Left expected to win without a majority and then lose in a run-off vote to the moderate right wing candidate. But this is the first time that voting has become compulsory, so some uncertainty is introduced. This seems a sensible summary:
'In the most likely scenario, Jose Antonio Kast of the Republican Party wins in a polarized runoff, likely against Jara, capitalizing on public insecurity and fatigue with Boric. Kast's government would emphasize tougher security and migration measures, fiscal conservatism and pro-business policies, spurring protests but improving Chile's fiscal metrics. Mining firms would benefit from tax relief and faster permitting. Relations with the United States would strengthen, while scrutiny of Chinese investment would rise, but not harm trade. '
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/chiles-presidential-election-potential-outcomes-and-their-implications