RE: VAL18 Jun 2018 18:02
Yeah, on the positive side of things, it does appear that for the first time Valirx are going into market with a real live product and commercial pack for a phase 3.
Taking into account various risks etc., it may be a good turning point, as if VAL401 does actually work then significant commercial progress will occur within 3-6 months, well within the investment timeframe of a typical AIM investor.
£30m initial milestone (plausible? who knows) does work out at about 6p a share. Would be interesting to see if the partner would then progress phase 2 on several oncological conditions while simultaneously running the phase 3 on lung cancer (adenocarcinoma was it?).
In theory HSD10 gene dysregulation could function on many cancers/adenocarcinomas in different parts of the body, as the core problem is that overexpressed HSD10 levels prevents cells from dying (resulting in an undesirable tumour growing).
Reading the VAL401 patents, they describe various laboratory tests that apparently resulted in a significant reduction in growths in certain prostate cancer, lung, pancreatic, ovarian carcinoma, certain breast cancers etc. A serious amount of work, although arguably less effective than chemotherapy (considering chemotherapy is more or less the medical equivalent of drinking bleach and killing all cells, I'm not surprised at that), but risperidone has far more tolerable side effect schedule (you may not even notice it).
Interesting times. I've never really known what to expect from 401, it remains a wild card, on paper I like certain elements of it, at other times I wonder if it's an elaborate pyramid scheme, but the Doctors involved appear to have genuine backgrounds and government support (to a certain degree). Suzy sounds too....nice to be a conwoman!!